thereforebewastingourpoliticalcapital,exacerbatingthepressurestoward
conflictandcripplingourabilitytocontainaconflictifiterupted. Itseemedtome
thatwewouldbebetterofffocusingonapartialsettlement,suchasonewith
Jordan,[
ThisjudgmentturnedouttobewrongbecausetheWestBankandJerusalemwere
thetoughestissuesforIsraeltohandle.]whichhadalongandhonorablerecordof
friendshipwiththeUnitedStates.IurgedthePresident,ifheproceeded,to
obtainfromStatenotonlyitsproceduralproposalbuttheoutlineofthe
substanceofthepea cetermsitwouldbesupporting—thearticulationofwhich
was,afterall,thepointoftheexercise.
NixonandIhadaprivatetalk ontheafternoonofFebruary3. Hefelt
himself“boxedin.”HecouldnotrejecttheFrenchproposaloutrightsincethat
wouldmortgagehisefforttoimproverelationswithdeGaulle;also,hesawinthe
MiddleEastalevertopryloosesomeSovietcooperationonVietnam.Andhedid
notwanttooverruletheStateDepartmentonanissueonwhichitsviewswere
unanimousandsostronglyheld.Unfortunately,theseobjectiveswerenot
compatible.Inmyopinion,asItoldhim,weweremorelikelytoobtainSoviet
cooperationinVietnambymovingdeliberatelyintheMiddleEast,wherethe
Sovietclientsweretheweakerparty,thanbyrelievingitsembarrassmentthrough
talksthatwouldgivetheSovietsadazzlingopportunitytodemonstratetheir
utilitytotheirArabfriends.Norwouldweplacatethebureaucracybygoingalong
withitsopeninggambit;itwascertaintobebackwithrequestsformorespecific
instructionsthatwouldheadusdowntheslipperyslope.Ifwewerenotcareful,
wewouldbeaskedtobreakeverydeadlockbyputtingforwardourownplan—
whichwewouldthenbeaskedtoimposeonrecalcitrantparties.
Foreignpolicydecisionsrarelyemergefromabstractanalysis,however.For
reasonsalreadydescribedNixondidnotwishto overruletheStateDepartment,
antagonizedeGaulle,orrebufftheSovietUnion.Sensingthis,Isuggestedaway
tomovewithoutcommittingourselvesirrevocably.Ratherthanchoosebetween
theFour‐PowerandtheTwo‐Powerforums,wecouldmainta insomefreedomof
actionbyacceptingboth.WewouldmakeprogressintheFour‐Powerforum
dependonexploratorytalkswiththeSoviets.Inthismannerwecouldattemptto
tietheMiddleEastdiscussionstoourbroaderconcerns,includingSoviethelpon
Vietnam.AndintheFour‐Powerforum,ourEuropeanallieswouldbemore
hesitanttosidewiththeSovietsagainstusiftheyknewwehadourownbilateral
option.Topreventtheprocessfromgaininguncontrollablemomentum,wecould