chap-13 4/6/2004 17: 28 page 345
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ONTOGENY AND PHYLOGENY 345
Empirical criteria for documenting changes in the spatiotemporal
organization of development, confined to late development
The hypothesis predicts that species will differ in {k
1
, k
2
, k
3
, ...k
P
} but will not differ
in shape at the outset of the measured developmental phase. That is not equivalent to
predicting that they do not differ in {b
1
, b
2
, b
3
,…b
P
}, because b is the value for Y when
X =1, which is much smaller than a larval length. Instead, the hypothesis predicts that
species do not differ in proportions at the earliest stage observed (or at the youngest stage
relevant to the hypothesis); their divergence begins after that point. The first step in testing
the hypothesis is the same as discussed above: documenting interspecific differences in
{k
1
, k
2
, k
3
,…k
P
}, which can be done by MANCOVA and by showing that the interspecific
angles between the vectors are larger than anticipated by chance. The second step is to show
that species are very similar in shape early in development (and diverge as they grow). This
can be done by estimating the proportions expected for each species at that stage, which is
done by predicting {Y
1
, Y
2
, Y
3
, ...Y
P
} for each. Given that we find differences in {k
1
, k
2
,
k
3
,…k
P
}, we need to base these predictions on the regression models fitted separately to
each species. We can then assess whether the expected values differ significantly, which is
done by adding the residuals from the regression model to the expected value (as calculated
for each species) and then comparing the expected shapes between species statistically. We
can also compare the lengths of the ontogenetic vectors (as described above), which are
predicted not to differ.
Complex changes in multiple parameters and stages
Having considered several simple cases, we can begin to explore the more interesting
combinations of two or more modifications. We will consider four possibilities:
1. That both early and late morphogenesis are modified but developmental rate/timing
is not (Figure 13.13)
2. That one phase is modified in both morphogenesis and developmental rate, whereas
the other is not modified in either (Figure 13.14)
3. That early morphogenesis is modified but later development is modified solely in
developmental rate/timing (Figure 13.15)
4. That both stages are modified in morphogenesis and developmental rate/timing is also
altered (Figure 13.16).
Although all these cases are similar in that multiple developmental parameters differ,
and also all predict a complex relationship between ontogeny and phylogeny; they differ
considerably in their biological implications. The first implies that morphogenesis is more
labile than developmental rate/timing – rate/timing is conserved although morphogenesis
evolves. The next two imply that one developmental stage is more labile than the other
and that it is labile in both morphogenesis and developmental rate/timing. The fourth
implies that development is highly labile in general – everything that can change does. The
most interesting consequences of these complex modifications, aside from what they tell us
about the lability of development, are their potential impacts on disparity. The interactions
among the multiple novelties may result in greater disparity than expected from the impact
of each one, taken separately, or in less disparity than expected from a single modification.
Interactions among multiple novelties might either amplify or counterbalance each other.