ɍɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɟ (5.2.4) ɧɟɥɶɡɹ ɨɬɧɟɫɬɢ ɤ ɬɢɩɭ Ʌɶɟɧɚɪɚ. ɑɬɨɛɵ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɭ 5.2.6,
ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɚ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɟɣ ɧɚɤɨɩɥɟɧɢɹ, ɬ.ɟ. dK/dt
= S, ɝɞɟ S = S(Y), ɉɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɢɦ ɬɚɤɠɟ, ɱɬɨ ɜɵɪɚɠɟɧɢɟ (I
Y
- S
Y
), ɨɛɨɡɧɚɱɟɧɧɨɟ ɱɟɪɟɡ W(Y), ɚ
ɬɚɤɠɟ I
K
ɧɟ ɡɚɜɢɫɢɬ ɨɬ ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɵ ɧɚɤɨɩɥɟɧɢɹ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɚ. Ɍɨɝɞɚ (5.2.4) ɦɨɠɧɨ ɩɟɪɟɩɢɫɚɬɶ ɤɚɤ
Ʌɨɪɟɧɰ (1986) ɩɨɤɚɡɚɥ, ɱɬɨ ɢ ɩɪɢ ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɵɯ ɞɪɭɝɢɯ, ɜɩɨɥɧɟ ɩɪɢɟɦɥɟɦɵɯ
ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɢɹɯ, ɞɥɹ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɣ ɢɧɜɟɫɬɢɰɢɣ ɢ ɧɚɤɨɩɥɟɧɢɹ, ɫɢɦɦɟɬɪɢɱɧɵɯ ɨɬɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ Y,
ɩɟɪɢɨɞɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɟ ɭɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɹ (5.2.5) ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɨɞɧɨɡɧɚɱɧɨ.
5.2.2 Ɍɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɏɨɩɮɚ ɨ ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɹɯ
ɉɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɉɭɚɧɤɚɪɟ-Ȼɟɧɞɢɤɫɨɧɚ ɪɚɫɩɪɨɫɬɪɚɧɹɟɬɫɹ ɥɢɲɶ ɧɚ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɵ ɜɬɨɪɨɝɨ
ɩɨɪɹɞɤɚ, ɟɟ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ ɜ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟ ɞɨɜɨɥɶɧɨ ɨɝɪɚɧɢɱɟɧɧɨ. Ȼɨɥɶɲɢɧɫɬɜɨ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ
ɫɢɫɬɟɦ ɢɦɟɸɬ ɝɨɪɚɡɞɨ ɛɨɥɶɲɢɣ ɩɨɪɹɞɨɤ, ɬɚɤ ɱɬɨ ɠɟɥɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɢɦɟɬɶ ɜ ɚɪɫɟɧɚɥɟ ɚɧɚɥɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ
ɦɟɬɨɞɵ, ɩɪɢɝɨɞɧɵɟ ɞɥɹ ɫɢɫɬɟɦ ɜɵɫɨɤɢɯ ɩɨɪɹɞɤɨɜ. ȼɟɫɶɦɚ ɩɨɥɟɡɧɨɣ ɫ ɷɬɨɣ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɡɪɟɧɢɹ
ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɨɧɧɚɹ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɏɨɩɮɚ.
ɇɭɠɧɨ ɨɬɦɟɬɢɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɉɭɚɧɤɚɪɟ
-Ⱥɧɞɪɨɧɨɜɚ-ɏɨɩɮɚ, ɧɚɡɵɜɚɟɦɚɹ ɨɛɵɱɧɨ
ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɨɧɧɨɣ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɨɣ ɏɨɩɮɚ, ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɧɚɢɛɨɥɟɟ ɜɚɠɧɵɦ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɨɦ ɬɟɨɪɢɢ
ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɣ. Ɍɟɪɦɢɧɨɦ «ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɹ ɏɨɩɮɚ» ɧɚɡɵɜɚɸɬ ɹɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɪɨɠɞɟɧɢɹ ɩɟɪɢɨɞɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ
ɨɪɛɢɬɵ ɢɡ ɫɬɚɰɢɨɧɚɪɧɨɝɨ ɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɹ ɷɜɨɥɸɰɢɨɧɧɨɝɨ ɭɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɹ ɩɪɢ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɢ
ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɨɧɧɨɝɨ ɩɚɪɚɦɟɬɪɚ. Ȼɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɨɧɧɚɹ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɏɨɩɮɚ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɢɪɭɟɬ ɞɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɵɟ
ɭɫɥɨɜɢɹ ɬɚɤɨɝɨ ɩɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ. ȼɨɡɦɨɠɧɨ, ɡɚ ɢɫɤɥɸɱɟɧɢɟɦ ɩɪɢɧɰɢɩɚ ɦɚɤɫɢɦɭɦɚ ɉɨɧɬɪɹɝɢɧɚ, ɜ
ɦɚɬɟɦɚɬɢɤɟ ɛɨɥɶɲɟ ɧɟɬ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɵ, ɤɨɬɨɪɚɹ
ɢɦɟɥɚ ɛɵ ɫɬɨɥɶ ɲɢɪɨɤɨɟ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ. Ʉɚɤ ɧɚɦ
ɤɚɠɟɬɫɹ, ɩɪɢɱɢɧɵ ɷɬɨɣ ɩɨɩɭɥɹɪɧɨɫɬɢ ɤɪɨɸɬɫɹ ɜ ɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɟɦ:
(i) ɍɫɥɨɜɢɹ ɜɨɡɧɢɤɧɨɜɟɧɢɹ ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɢ ɏɨɩɮɚ ɥɟɝɤɨ ɨɛɧɚɪɭɠɢɬɶ;
(ii) Ɍɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɢɦɚ ɞɥɹ ɥɸɛɵɯ ɪɚɡɦɟɪɧɨɫɬɟɣ ɢ ɩɪɨɫɬɪɚɧɫɬɜ;
(iii) Ȼɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɢ ɏɨɩɮɚ — ɟɞɢɧɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɣ ɜɢɞ ɧɟɫɬɚɰɢɨɧɚɪɧɨɝɨ ɩɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ, ɤɨɬɨɪɵɣ
ɯɨɪɨɲɨ ɩɨɧɹɬ ɜ ɪɚɦɤɚɯ ɬɟɨɪɢɢ ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɣ;
(iv) Ɍɟɨɪɟɦɚ ɞɚɟɬ ɹɪɤɢɣ ɩɪɢɦɟɪ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɹ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɥɢɧɟɣɧɵɦɢ ɢ ɧɟɥɢɧɟɣɧɵɦɢ
ɹɜɥɟɧɢɹɦɢ;
ɢ, ɤɪɨɦɟ ɬɨɝɨ,
(v) ɉɪɢɜɨɞɢɬ ɜ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɭ ɩɪɨɰɟɫɫ ɧɚɯɨɠɞɟɧɢɹ ɩɟɪɢɨɞɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɨɪɛɢɬ «ɜ ɰɟɥɨɦ».
ɉɪɢɜɟɞɟɦ ɫɬɚɧɞɚɪɬɧɭɸ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɢɪɨɜɤɭ ɛɢɮɭɪɤɚɰɢɨɧɧɨɣ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɵ ɏɨɩɮɚ. Ɋɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɢɦ
ɚɜɬɨɧɨɦɧɭɸ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɭ