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resulting from the main shock (Stein, 1999). This
is given by Eq. (11.36):
C
S
n
þ S
0
; (15:4)
where
S
is the limiting static friction at which
sliding begins,
n
is the normal stress and S
0
is
the cohesion. However, this (variation as 1/r
3
)has
been observed not to fit the observed 1/r variation
in frequency of occurrence with distance r from a
main shock (Felzer and Brodsky, 2006). It appears
possible that aftershocks reflect the distribution
of sub-faults, referred to above, that are caused by
the dynamic stress of the main shock.
Geodetic measurements following large
earthquakes have shown that regional strain
continues in the same directions as in the main
events with characteristic time constants rang-
ing from months to years. Some post-earthquake
strain is expected from the aftershocks, but that
is not a complete explanation. The cumulative
aftershock moment is generally one to two
orders of magnitude less than the geodetically
observed moment released after the event. Two
models are under investigation. One involves
further aseismic slip of the rupture plane itself.
The other involves slip in the lower ductile crust
resulting from the increased stress external to
the fault plane. Recently inversions of post-seismic
slip from two large Californian earthquakes
(Landers, 1992 and Hector Mine, 1998) have
shown that aseismic slip both on the fault and
below it is required to satisfy the data. The after-
slip may continue for years. Thatcher (1983) esti-
mated a time constant of 30 years for the 1906
San Francisco earthquake. The Maxwell relaxa-
tion time (for the model in Fig. 10.4(a)) is given by
M
¼ =: (15:5)
If the lower crust is relaxing over 30 years then, for
¼ 5 10
10
Pa, the viscosity of the lower crust is
¼ 5 10
19
Pa s. A zone of steady deformation of
order 200 km wide in Southern California is seen
to be overlaid by patches of more concentrated
strain change. Jackson et al. (1997) concluded that
they can be attributed to earthquake after-slip of
historic earthquakes. This complicates any
attempt to use strain observations to infer strain
build-up for future earthquakes.
Static stresses fall off with distance too rap-
idly (as 1/r
3
) to cause triggering of remote earth-
quakes. Dynamic stresses of seismic waves
diminish less rapidly, particularly for surface
waves which are spreading over a surface and
not a volume so that wave energy falls off as 1/r
and amplitude and stress as 1=
ffiffiffi
r
p
. This is why, at
teleseismic distances, surface waves dwarf the
body waves, for which amplitude decreases as
1/r. Earthquakes may be triggered by surface
waves from distant events, but this is observed
to occur only under special conditions, found in
hydrothermal or volcanic zones that are charac-
terized by high pore pressure. An example of
triggering that appears to have been a prolonged
response to dynamic stressing is seen in a several-
year period of increased seismicity in the
magmatic zone of Long Valley, California, imme-
diately following the Landers 1992 earthquake.
Long Valley is several hundred kilometres from
Landers and static stress changes from the earth-
quake would have been negligible.
15.3 Fault friction and earthquake
nucleation: the quasi-static
regime
The classical description of faulting is that faults
break when the driving shear stress is greater
than the limiting static friction, and once slip
starts the friction drops to a lower value, the
so-called dynamic friction. When the reduction
in friction with slip is greater than the reduction
in the driving stress from the surrounding elastic
medium, the fault is unstable and accelerates,
causing an earthquake. This stick–slip model of
earthquakes was prompted by laboratory obser-
vations on friction between rock surfaces.There
are several possible reasons for the difference
between static and dynamic friction. The pres-
ence of fluids introduces several possibilities and
is probably important, but there are two mecha-
nisms that do not depend explicitly on fluids.
They both represent friction in terms of the
interactions between asperities on adjacent sur-
faces subjected to a normal stress. In the static
situation with prolonged contact, asperities
15.3 THE QUASI-STATIC REGIME 227