
THE EFFECT
OF
LOCAL BAROCLINIC INSTABILITY
181
relevant growth rate characterizing the zonally inhomogeneous problem is
the absolute growth rate, which is typically much lower; thus, there may be
some utility in thinking of the atmosphere as a weakly unstable system.
Second, because the maximum eddy amplitudes and heat fluxes occur in the
diffluent region rather than in the jet maximum, they cannot effectively
eliminate the zonal inhomogeneity. In fact, given sufficient Ekman friction,
the heat
flux
can induce a circulation which tends to decelerate the upper
level westerlies and thus maintain the diffluence, provided the effect is not
overwhelmed by the acceleration due to the barotropic fluxes. Indulging in
some speculation, one could view blocking as a manifestation of the fluctua-
tion of the large-scale flow occumng in association with the life cycles of
baroclinic eddies developing on that zonally inhomogeneous flow: one
might begin with a weakly diffluent jet and weak eddies.
As
the eddies grew,
the split would intensify in response to the heat-flux forcing and the jet streak
would extend further eastward in response to the vorticity forcing. The
eddies would then equilibrate and decay, whereafter the cycle would com-
mence anew.
The eddy flux patterns just described rely on the penetration of strong
eddy activity into the region of weak baroclinicity. The extent of the pene-
tration, in turn, depends on the configuration of the large-scale basic-state
wind in the manner described in Pierrehumbert
(1984).
If the vertically
averaged wind is too strong compared to the vertical shear, the flow will not
be absolutely unstable, local modes will not develop, and eddies will propa-
gate away from the region of interest before they have an opportunity to
appreciably affect it. On the other hand, weak or easterly low-level winds
favor absolute instability. Thus, the weakened westerlies or low-level easter-
lies typically found in blocking regions serve to enhance the localization of
eddy activity in the block, with attendant enhancement
of
the diffluent
pattern. In consequence, certain anomalies consisting of a region of weak
winds and baroclinicity downstream of a region of strong winds and baro-
clinicity have a natural tendency to amplify under the influence of synoptic
eddies.
Absolute instability at some point in the flow is a requirement for the
existence of true local modes. At present it is uncertain whether appreciable
absolute instability can occur in the real atmosphere in the absence of a
region of easterly winds. Results for the Charney model (Farrell,
1983)
indicate that the Charney modes become absolutely unstable only when the
surface winds are easterly, in contrast with the two-layer model, which per-
mits short-wave, absolute instability for westerly surface winds. The effects
of meridional shear have not yet been studied, and may eliminate the neces-
sity of easterlies. It is clear, however, that the weak surface winds characteriz-
ing the real atmosphere place it at least near the border ofabsolute instability.