these scales. Model accuracy has improved even as complexities are added. Model
results have become more accepted as a representation of the atmospheric environ-
ment. As computation power increases, finer and finer scales o f motion are repre-
sented in smaller grid volumes. Lately, large eddy simulations represent dynamics at
grid sizes of a few meters in domains of 5 km
2
by 1 km deep.
As the models go to finer scales, the variability imposed by large-scale synoptic
and mesoscale influences the Atmospheric Boundary Layer (ABL) is modified by
both the cyclical nature of solar radiation and metamorphosis due to the stochastic
behavior of clouds and other natural processes as well as anthropogenic causes. The
resulting (stable and unstable) boundary layers are sufficiently different that current
models of one state do not adequately capture the essential physics of the other or the
transition from one state to the other. Accurate predictions become more difficult,
principally because the atmosphere is poorly represented. Data are lacking at the
scales of the model resolutions. Parameterizations required to close the set of equa-
tions are inadequate. Observations are lacking to describe the four-dimensional
fields of the forecast variables at the model resol ution. The models are unlikely to
improve until better theories of small-scale behavior are implemented and observa-
tions capable of testing the theories are available.
For the military, techniques to represent the inhomogeneous boundary layer in all
environments—urban, forest, mount ains, marine, desert—is absolutely essential for
mission performance. In most cases, this must be done with limited meteorological
data. Furthermore, the militar y is more frequently interested in the effects—visibility,
trafficability (following rain) , ceiling—than in the ‘‘weather’’ itself. Nevertheless,
without high-quality, dependable models that represent the real atmosphere in time
and space, the effects will not be representative.
Basic research attempts to improve modeling capability by increasing the know-
ledge base of the processes of the atmosphere. Until new measurement capabilities
are developed and tested, our ability to characterize the turbulent environment—
affecting propagation and dispersion of material s—will be severely limited.
3 PROTOTYPE MEASUREMENT SYSTEMS
Military basic research has participated in several new techniques to measure winds
and turbulence effects in the atm ospheric boundary layer. These techniques co ncen-
trate on sampling a volume of the atmospher e on the time scales of (at least) the
significant energy containing eddies of the atmosphere.
The Turbulent Eddy Profiler, developed at the University of Massachusetts,
Amherst, is a 90-element phased-array receiving antenna operating with a 915-MHz
25-kW transmitter. It is designed to measure clear air echoes from refractive index
fluctuations. The received signal at each element is saved for postprocessing. These
signals are combi ned to form 40 individual beams simultaneously pointing in differ-
ent directions every 2 s. In each 30-m range gate of each beam, the intensity of the
return, the radial wind speed is computed from the Doppler shift, and the spread of
the Doppler spectrum is calculated. These data are displayed to show a four-
924 BASIC RESEARCH FOR MILITARY APPLICATIONS