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RESERVOIRS AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 2.3
nition that there is inadequate water to pollute freely has led to increasing levels of
wastewater treatment, greater efficiency in use, and recycling in the industrial sector.
Scarcity has also led to increasing irrigation efficiency in the agricultural sector, and new
plumbing codes are gradually taking the United States from 20-L (5-gal) to 6-L (1.6-gal)
flush toilets. Municipal water rationing has been imposed not only in dry areas such as
southern California but also in humid areas ranging from Florida to New York.
Increasing efficiency of use, combined with low rates of population growth, are also
n
poultry, 125 kg of
ploys
ds. Reservoirs are necessary to divert
ABLE 2.2 Projected Global Po
Population, millions by year
ge erally characteristic of highly industrialized nations in Europe.
The patterns of increasing water scarcity evident in the United States are also
occurring on a global scale, but in many regions the scarcity is much more acute. Most of
the world's population growth is occurring in less developed countries, especially in areas
of low rainfall with high and increasing dependence on irrigation, which greatly increases
per capita water requirements since food and fiber must be produced from runoff diverted
to agricultural use rather than natural precipitation on rain-fed cropland. Thus, in Sweden
it is possible to maintain one of the world's highest standards of living with water
withdrawals of only 620 m
3
/capita/yr, whereas in irrigation-dependent Arab countries
withdrawals of 1205 m
3
/capita/yr are needed to produce an individual's annual
requirement of 375 kg of fruits and vegetables, 35 kg of meats and
cereals, plus 55 m
3
for domestic use (Falkenmark and Lindh, 1993).
Total runoff can be used to give a crude, and admittedly optimistic, estimate of the
total volume of water that could be made available if water supplies are fully developed
for human use, leaving little if any water to sustain natural aquatic or wetland
ecosystems. Engleman and LeRoy (1995) used a per capita runoff of 1700 m
3
/yr as a
benczmark for "water stress" and 1000 m
3
/yr as a benchmark for "water scarcity," and
combined national data on total runoff with the 1994 United Nations medium population
projection by country (summarized in Table 2.2 by continent) to compute runoff per
capita. This was compared to the benchmark values to examine trends in water
availability. By year 2050 some 58 nations containing nearly 4.4 billion people will be
experiencing either water stress or scarcity, as compared to a population of less than 0.4
billion so classified in 1990 (Fig. 2.2). Population and water availability for several
countries are compared in Table 2.3, where it can be seen that the United States, despite
large deserts, as a whole is a water-rich nation. Israel, with only 461 m
3
/capita, em
the world's most technologically advanced and efficient water management system.
The continuously sustainable or firm yield from unregulated stream diversions
generally ranges from zero to 20 percent of the mean annual discharge, with the lower
values applicable to more and and smaller watershe
T pulation Growth
Continent 1950 1990 2020 2050
1
annual %
Growth rate
990-2050,
Europe 549 722 723 678 - 0.1
North America 1 3 3
ia
1 4, 5,
merica
orld Total 2,521 5,286 7,889 9,834 1.0
66 278 58 89 0.6
Ocean 13 27 40 46 0.9
Asia ,403 3,186 744 741 1.0
Latin A 166 440 676 839 1.1
Africa 224 633 1,348 2,141 2.1
W