A.9
Solutions to
Chapter
9 401
The symmetric matrix of variances and covariances is:
U'
2
UTA' -U'B'\ / 0.2880 0.0732 -0.0843 \
WA A'
2
~AW = 0.0732 0.7581 -0.0507
'B'
A'B' B'
2
) \-0.0843 -0.0507 0.8213 /
The eigenvalues and eigenvectors of this matrix can be determined by
standard methods (see, for example, Chapter 11 of Press et. a/., (1992)).
The eigenvalues are 0.87, 0.73 and 0.27, so that they account for 47%, 39%
and 14% of the variance of the time series respectively. The corresponding
eigenvectors are (1.20,0.46,1.18), (-0.13,0.85,-0.50) and (0.98,0.04,-0.19).
The first two are more or less parallel to the (A,B) plane and the last is
roughly parallel to the U axis. It is worth remarking that the covariances,
and hence the eigenvectors, are quite sensitive to details such as the length
of the calculation and the integration scheme for this chaotic system.
8.2 For the configuration suggested, k = 2/(acos45) = 4.44 x 10~
7
m~
1
and / =
TT/5
x 10
6
= 6.28 x lO^m"
1
. Thus P/K
2
= 27.4 ms"
1
(which is the
wind speed at which resonance occurs) and
(T
D
/C)
-1
= 3.0 ms"
1
. Assuming
a value of H =
7
km, then 3i = 15.1ms"
1
day""
1
at resonance. At this
wind speed, the friction drag is 4.5 ms"
1
day"
1
, smaller than @, which is a
necessary (but not sufficient) condition for resonance. Drawing the graph of
2f vs U and of (U
E
—
U)/T
D
VS U
9
multiple equilibria will be found, with a
'blocked' state for U = 24 ms"
1
and a zonal state at U = 46 ms"
1
, with an
unstable equilibrium at U = 34 ms"
1
.
8.3 For stationary Rossby waves, c
gy
= C/sin(2a). For the DJF flow
at 25 °N and 25kPa, [u] is about 25 ms"
1
and ft = 2Ocos(0)/a is 2 x
10"
11
m"
1
s"
1
. For simplicity in this order of magnitude calculation, assume
that [q]
y
is dominated by p. It follows that K
s
= 0&/[ti])
1/2
= 9.1 x 10"
7
m"
1
.
For a zonal wavenumber m disturbance, k = m/a
cos((/>). Hence, for m = 3,
k = S^xlO^m"
1
, / = {K
2
-k
2
)
1
'
2
= 7.5xl0"
7
m-
1
. Hence a = tiur^l/k) =
55° and c
gy
= 23 ms"
1
. The time for the packet to travel 2 x 10
6
m in the
meridional direction is therefore 2 x 10
6
/23 s or about one day. For a
wavenumber 1 disturbance, c
gy
= 9.4 ms"
1
and the time taken is about
2.5 days.
A.9 Solutions to Chapter 9
9.1 The scale height H = RT/g is about 6.4 km for the stratosphere. For
an isothermal atmosphere, z = — H ln(p/p
s
). Then, the height of the 3kPa
surface is
22
km,
of the lkPa surface is
29.5
km and that of the
0.1
kPa
surface is
44.2
km.