(a) Estimate the population in 2015.
(b) When will the population reach half a billion?
SOLUTION
(a) The population in 2015 (that is, t 35) will be approximately
P(35) 227e
.0093(35)
314.3 million people.
(b) Half a billion is 500 million people. So we must find the value of t for which
P(t) 500, that is, we must solve the equation
227e
.0093t
500.
This can be done graphically by finding the intersection of the graph of P(t) and
the horizontal line y 500, which occurs when t 84.9 (Figure 5–12). There-
fore, the population will reach half a billion late in the year 2064. ■
OTHER EXPONENTIAL FUNCTIONS
The population growth models in earlier examples do not take into account factors
that may limit population growth in the future (wars, new diseases, etc.). Example
10 illustrates a function, called a logistic model, that is designed to model such
situations more accurately.
EXAMPLE 10
Inhibited Population Growth There is an upper limit on the fish population in
a certain lake due to the oxygen supply, available food, etc. The population of fish
in this lake at time t months is given by the function
p(t)
1
20
2
,0
4
0
e
0
t/4
(t 0).
What is the upper limit on the fish population?
SOLUTION The graph of p(t) in Figure 5–13 suggests that the horizontal line
y 20,000 is a horizontal asymptote of the graph.
In other words, the fish population never goes above 20,000. You can confirm
this algebraically by rewriting the rule of p in this form.
p(t)
1
20
2
,0
4
0
e
0
t/4
.
When t is very large, so is t/4, which means that e
t/4
is huge. Hence, by the Big-
Little Principle (page 288),
e
2
t/
4
4
is very close to 0, and p(t) is very close to
2
1
0
,00
0
0
20,000. Since e
t/4
is positive, the denominator of p(t) is slightly bigger
than 1, so p(t) is always less than 20,000. ■
When a cable, such as a power line, is suspended between towers of equal
height as in Figure 5–14, it forms a curve called a catenary, which is the graph of
a function of the form
f (x) A(e
kx
e
kx
)
20,000
1
e
2
t/
4
4
364 CHAPTER 5 Exponential and Logarithmic Functions
0
100
−200
800
Figure 5–12
050
0
25,000
Figure 5–13