(a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data from 1996 to 2005, with
x 0 corresponding to 1996.
(b) Find a good polynomial model for this data.
(c) Use your model to estimate Bobby Abreu’s batting
average in 2003.
(d) Keeping in mind that baseball players’ batting averages
tend to decline as they get older, and that they tend to
stay above .100, how accurate do you think your model
would be if he were still playing baseball in 2016?
Why?
Use the following table in Exercises 9 and 10. It shows the
median income of U.S. households in constant 2004 dollars.*
9. (a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data from 1990 to 2004, with
x 0 corresponding to 1990 and y measured in thousands.
(b) Decide whether a quadratic or a cubic model seems
more appropriate and state its rule.
(c) Use the model to predict the median income in 2012.
(d) Does this model seem reasonable after 2012?
10. (a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data from 1994 to 2004, with
x 0 corresponding to 1994 and y measured in thou-
sands.
(b) Find both cubic and quartic models for this data.
(c) Is there any significant difference between the models
from 1994 to 2004? What about from 2004 to 2012?
(d) According to these models, when will the median in-
come reach $60,000?
11. The table shows the percentage of male high school stu-
dents who currently smoke cigarettes in various years.
†
(a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data, with x 0 correspon-
ding to 1990.
SPECIAL TOPICS 4.4.A Polynomial Models 287
(b) Find quadratic, cubic, and quartic polynomial models
for the data.
(c) Which model seems to fit this data best? Which one
seems most reasonable for future years.
12. The table shows the U.S. public debt per person (in dollars)
in selected years.*
(a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data.
(b) Find a quartic polynomial model for the data.
(c) Use the model to estimate the public debt per person in
1996. How does your estimate compare with the actual
figure of $19,805?
(d) Is this model likely to be accurate after 2003? Why?
13. (a) Find both a cubic and a quartic model for the data on the
number of unemployed people in the labor force in
Example 6 of Section 2.5.
(b) Does either model seem likely to be accurate in the
future?
14. The table shows the total advertising expenditures in the
United States (in billions of dollars) in selected years.
†
(a) Sketch a scatter plot of the data, with x 0 correspon-
ding to 1990.
(b) Find a quadratic model for the data.
(c) Use the model to estimate expenditures in 1995 and
2002.
(d) If this model remains accurate, when did expenditures
reach $350 billion?
Median Median
Year Income Year Income
1990 $42,086 1998 $43,659
1992 $41,043 2000 $45,730
1994 $40,439 2002 $45,222
1996 $41,722 2004 $44,473
Year Percent Year Percent
1991 27.6 1999 34.7
1993 29.8 2001 29.2
1995 35.4 2003 21.8
1997 37.7
Year Expenditures
1990 129.59
1992 132.65
1994 151.68
1996 175.23
1998 201.59
2000 236.33
*U.S. Census Bureau.
†
Youth at Risk Behavior Survey.
*U.S. Bureau of Public Debt.
†
Statistical Abstract of the United States: 2001.
Year Debit Year Debit
1981 $4,338 1993 $17,105
1983 $5,887 1995 $18,930
1985 $7,598 1997 $20,026
1987 $9,615 1999 $20,746
1989 $11,545 2001 $20.353
1991 $14,436 2003 $21,459