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application. Ecologists want to model the growth of the population of some ani-
mal in an ecosystem. To simplify notation, let’s let the variable x represent a frac-
tion of the theoretical maximum population, so that 0 x 1. [If the population
were the maximum the ecosystem could sustain, then x 1 and if there are none
of these animals in the ecosystem, then x 0. We’re interested in the usual situa-
tion where x is somewhere in between.] With a growth rate r, the function f (x)
rx seems to fill the bill.* But logistics, the limitation of resources (food, nesting
locations, etc.), demands an adjustment. The logistic function f (x) rx(1 x)
gives a more realistic model of the growth, which is nearly exponential when x is
small (and 1 x is nearly 0). It also reflects the influence of logistics in that (1 x)
approaches 0 as x approaches 1.
Do these exercises for the logistic function f (x) rx(1 x) and the given
value of r.
6. Use r 2 and different initial values (such as .25, .8, and .1) to confirm
that f (x) 2x(1 x) has fixed point .5.
7. Find the fixed point (to the nearest hundredth) when r
(a) 2.5 (b) 2.8 (c) 3 (d) 3.2
8. Verify that for r 3.3, the orbit of any point x (with 0 x 1) seems
to (eventually) jump back and forth between two values. Somewhere
between 3.2 and 3.3 a bifurcation has occurred. Instead of a single
fixed point we now have a periodic oscillation, with period 2. Find the
two values.
9. Verify that periodic oscillation also occurs when r 3.4. Is the period
still 2?
10. Verify that r 3.5 eventually oscillates among four values (that is,
the period is 4 2
2
). Another bifurcation has occurred. Find the four
values.
11. Verify that for r 3.55 the period is still four but at r 3.56 there are
eight values (period is 8 2
3
). Find them.
12. Is it possible to determine exactly where bifurcations occur? When r is
very large, do you think that the system breaks down to “chaos” or that
there are values of r that have period 2
n
for large values of n?
13. If you are able to consult a naturalist, determine whether some animal
populations follow yearly patterns consistent with the logistic model.
DISCOVERY PROJECT 3
*Notice the similarity to the 4% interest example, where the “balance function” was f (x) 1.04x.
Notice also, that if r is less than 1, the population declines to extinction.