hectares in 1996. The average yield per hectare has
increased by over 50% during the same period. How-
ever, it is questionable whether any large-scale in-
creases will ensue from now on.
World Trade
Tea Retained in Producing Countries
0032 In 1998, over 57% of the world’s production of tea
was retained in producer countries. In some countries
it was much higher: Over 76% of the Indian and 74%
of the Chinese production is retained for internal
consumption. For India, in particular, the home
market has increased greatly from 499 053 mt
(1988) to 667 565 mt (1998). For a number of other
countries, e.g., Iran, Japan, Malaysia, South Africa,
Taiwan, and the Russian Federation, the majority, if
not all, of their tea produced is consumed internally.
African producer countries generally export the
majority of their production, whereas most Asian
producers do not.
Exports
0033 World exports of tea, both black and green, for the
1995–97 period and for 1998 are reported in Figure 2.
All major exporting countries maintained significant
export volumes for 1998. The FAO projects that net
export availabilities will reach 1.292 million mt in
2005 and predicts that China, India, Indonesia,
Sri Lanka, and Kenya will account for 78% of this
increased volume. Bangladesh, Malawi, Tanzania,
Turkey, and Zimbabwe are also expected to increase
their export capabilities significantly by 2005.
Exports from India, the world’s largest tea-producing
and -consuming country, are expected to recover
from the recent disappointing performance due to
weather, while satisfying growing domestic demand.
0034 The largest and most significant exporter of green
tea is China. Major destinations for green tea include
Morocco, the Russian Federation, Algeria, the USA,
and Afghanistan. India exports small amounts of
green tea to the USA, Afghanistan, and Japan.
China also produces a number of other teas, e.g.,
partially fermented, and the major export destin-
ations for these are Hong Kong and Japan. Taiwan
produces and exports oolong, pouchong, and green
tea, with Japan being the largest importer of these.
The Japanese, in turn, export a small proportion of
their green teas, primarily to the USA.
Imports
0035 Imports for Consumption Figure 3 shows tea im-
ports for consumption of major importing countries
for the 1995–97 period and for 1998. The UK and the
Confederation of Independent States (CIS) countries
– particularly the Russian Federation – were the larg-
est importers of tea for internal consumption. Other
major destinations for tea include Pakistan, the USA,
Egypt, Japan, Iraq, and Morocco. Growth in de-
veloped countries is expected to be largely concen-
trated in the CIS countries, the USA, and, to a lesser
extent, western Europe. Consumption in the UK has
been declining since 1961 when consumption per
head was 4.5 kg, and reached its lowest point of
2.4 kg in 1995. The FAO reports that the apparent
consumption per head has since stabilized and rose
to 2.49 kg in 1996 and 2.58 kg in 1997. This is re-
flected in consecutive increases in net imports for
these years.
0036Reexports of tea A proportion of the tea imported
into the UK is reexported. The largest recipients of
this reexported tea are Canada, Germany, Saudi
Arabia, and France. The Netherlands also reexports
a high proportion of its imports.
Marketing
0037Most of the world’s black tea production is traded
in either auction or forward markets. The former
accounts for the largest proportion of the total tea
traded. In 1997, 84% of the total tea traded was
sold through auctions held in producer countries,
namely: Mombasa (Kenya), Guwahati, (India),
Siliguri (India), Calcutta (India), Cochin (India),
Coimbatore (India), Chittagong (Bangladesh), Col-
ombo (Sri Lanka), Jakarta (Indonesia), and Limbe
(Malawi). The auctions take place weekly through
the growing season.
0038Tea sold through forward contracts is gaining
popularity. A significant advantage of this market
over the auction market is that the participants can
lock on prices they wish to trade in the future. In the
forward market, a buyer and a seller buy/sell an
agreed amount of goods for delivery on an agreed
future date at a predetermined price. Prices in this
market tend to be less transparent than auction prices
(spot or cash markets).
Tea Consumption
0039According to the FAO, black tea consumption will
increase from 1.97 million mt in 1993–95 to 2.67
million Mt by 2005 – an annual growth rate of
2.8%. Statistics collated by the International Tea
Committee indicate that this is an underestimation,
as the total world production for 1998 exceeds
the FAO estimate for 2005. Developing countries
are forecast to account for the largest part of the
TEA/Types, Production, and Trade 5741