question whether economic conditions improved significantly for Tokugawa era
farmers. New opportunities created by rural industry and other forms of economic
growth would have increased the econo mic value of surplus family members and
eventually stimulated population growth. We have some tantalizing evidence that
new side industries led to population growth in some villages,
10
but the nationwide
data suggests that such effects were far from universal.
Yet another shortcoming of demographic studies to date is that they largely ignore
the broader context in which popul ation changes take place. Most historical demo-
graphers of Japan have examined population records alone, without reference to
oftentimes extensive other forms of documents. This has been an unfortunate omis-
sion, because we can never fully understand population trends without knowledge of
other aspects of farmers’ lives. What farmers are producing , how production is
changing, the village’s links to local and national markets, tax rates, farmers’ incomes,
levels of indebtedness, the distribution of wealth – all of these factors influe nce how
farmers make decisions about family size.
Material culture is another aspect of the broader context of farmers’ lives. If indeed
the economy grew, we would expect to find substantive changes in such things as
what people ate, what they wore, life expectancy, housing and furnishings, sanitation,
and consumption patterns in general. Susan Hanley’s Everyday Things in Tokugawa
Japan addresses these topics and offers an abundance of evidence to support her claim
that Japanese in the Tokugawa era enjoyed a ‘‘relatively high level of physical well-
being.’’
11
House sizes increa sed and houses were better built, fo r example. Wooden
floors and tatami mats replaced the pounded earthen floors of the past. Japanese ate
more nutritious foods, including greater quantities of rice and sweet potatoes. In the
cities, mortality rates were lower than might be expected given their size, because
residents engaged in beneficial sanitation practices, such as the carting of night soil to
the countryside to use as fertilizer. Rural areas became vibrant areas for commerce,
with many villages supporting shops selling dozens of consumer goods, including
hair ornaments, footwear, oils, pots, and paper. When viewed through the lens of life
expectancy, Japanese led surprisingly long lives, even by the standards of Western
societies around the same time.
There is no doubt that the lives of Japanese changed in very important ways over
the course of the Tokugawa, and that terms like ‘‘immiseration’’ are woefully inad-
equate in characterizing the ir lot. We are on somewhat shakier ground, however, in
accepting overly rosy assumptions about everyday life. Changing patterns of con-
sumption may indicate that people’s material lives are improving but, as we know
from our own society, the link between the two is not always so clear. It is not even
clear to economic historians of the West that economic growth, especially the process
of industrialization, necessarily leads to improvements in people’s well-being; in many
cases, there is a negative correlation.
We must also guard against generalizations concerning improvements in material
well-being that are not rooted in the local, because regional and temporal variations
were great. Farmers ’ fortunes could be highly unstable. The major famines that took
place in the 1730s, 1780s, and 1830s devastated the lives of hundreds of thousands of
Japanese, but these were not simply punctuations in a seamless flow of economic
growth and material improvements. Japanese farmers were constantly at the mercy of
nature and economic downturns.
12
A year, even a decade, of plenty might be
96 EDWARD E. PRATT