504 Chapter 18 Water Pollution
reduction in costs probably would allow net benefits to remain positive even with the
more stringent control levels envisioned for the future. Even positive net benefits
would not necessarily make the policy efficient, however, because the level of control
might still be too high or too low (meaning the present value of net benefits would
not have been maximized). Unfortunately, the evidence is not rich enough to prove
whether the overall level of control maximizes the net benefit.
In addition to promoting current cost-effectiveness, economic incentive
approaches would stimulate and facilitate change better than a system of rigid, tech-
nology-based standards. Russell (1981) assessed the importance of the facilitating
role by simulating the effects on the allocation of pollution-control responsibility in
response to regional economic growth, changing technology, and changing product
mix. Focusing on the steel, paper, and petroleum-refining industries in the
11-county Delaware Estuary Region, his study estimated the change in permit use
for three water pollutants (BOD, total suspended solids, and ammonia) that would
have resulted if a marketable permit system were in place over the 1940–1978
period. The calculations assume that the plants existing in 1940 would have been
allocated permits to legitimize their emissions at that time, that new sources would
have had to purchase permits, and that plant shutdowns or contractions would free
up permits for others to purchase.
This study found that for almost every decade and pollutant, a substantial
number of permits would have been made available by plant closing, capacity
contractions, product-mix changes, and/or by the availability of new technologies.
In the absence of a marketable permit program, a control authority would not
only have to keep abreast of all technological developments so emissions standards
could be adjusted accordingly, but it would also have to ensure an overall balance
between effluent increases and decreases so as to preserve water quality. This
tough assignment is handled completely by the market in a tradable permit
system, thereby facilitating the evolution of the economy by responding flexibly
and predictably to change.
Tradable effluent permits encourage, as well as facilitate, this evolution. Since
permits have value, in order to minimize costs, firms must continually be
looking for new opportunities to control emissions at lower cost. This search
eventually results in the adoption of new technologies and in the initiation of
changes in the product mix that result in lower amounts of emissions. The pres-
sure on sources to continually search for better ways to control pollution is a
distinct advantage that economic incentive systems have over bureaucratically
defined standards.
Summary
Historically, policies for controlling water pollution have been concerned with
conventional pollutants discharged into surface waters. More recently, concerns
have shifted toward toxic pollutants, which apparently are more prevalent than