Cambridge Histories Online © Cambridge University Press, 2008
Peter the Great and the Northern War
favourites, Lefort and Gordon, who continued to favour an anti-Ottoman
policy, but both died early in 1699. He mourned their deaths, but for political
support found two new favourites, Fedor Golovin, the scion of an old boyar
family, and Aleksandr Menshikov, the son of one of the palace falconers. Peter
moved quickly to make a treaty with Denmark, completing the circle of allies
against Sweden. His method was characteristic, for he ordered the Danish
envoy to Voronezh where he was inspecting the shipyards. There he met the
Dane at night in a small house on the edge of town with only Fedor Golovin
and a translator present, and together theywrote the treaty. Peter told the Dane
to be sure to keep the matter secret from the Russian boyars. Complications
with the Turkish peace put off the Swedish war until the autumn of 1700,but
the new direction was now set.
The course of the war was full of surprises, for the political, military, eco-
nomic and even demographic position of the warring powers was not what it
seemed on the surface. Sweden had been the hegemonic power in northern
Europe since the great victories of Gustavus Adolphus, having reduced Den-
mark in size and power and established itself not only in the Baltic provinces
but in northern Germany. The performance of King Jan Sobieski’s army before
Vienna in 1683 seemed to suggest that Poland had recovered from its losses
in the Russian-Ukrainian war. Contemporaries attributed great significance to
Augustus II’s success in Hungary as an imperial ally and commander, presum-
ing that he, like Sobieski, could overcome the contentions of Polish magnates
long enough to secure victory. Russia, in contrast, was still a marginal power,
fighting with mixed success against the Turks and Tatars and apparently much
less important than Poland.
In reality, the situation was quite different. Poland’s problems extended
beyond magnate quarrels with the king and with one another. The Cossack
rebellion of 1648 and the subsequent wars had largely been fought on Polish
territory, leading to economic catastrophe and demographic collapse. It did
not regain its pre-1648 population (about 11 million) until the middle of the
eighteenth century. Further, its crucial grain exports met increasing compe-
tition from improved farming techniques in Holland and England, its main
markets. Polish cities stagnated after 1648, falling in population and prosperity.
The most ruthless government would have raised revenue with difficulty in
this situation, but revenue for the army was almost entirely at the will of the
diet (Polish parliament) and the szlachta (nobility) served in the army as volun-
teer cavalry or on the wages of great magnates. A modern infantry army was
an impossibility. The king also could not fully control Poland’s Baltic ports
(Danzig and Elbing) nor could he build a navy.
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