Cambridge Histories Online © Cambridge University Press, 2008
Foreign policy and the armed forces
it is manifested in improper ways, by fits and starts, solely at crucial historical
junctures, with a force that is all the greater and in forms that are all the more
peculiar.’
3
The nobles’ revolt weighed especially heavily on politics at home,
but, as we shall see, foreign policy was not utterly immune to its influence
either.
Catherine soon emerged as one of the master diplomats of the time and
perhaps, in terms of material achievements, the grand champion of the com-
petition for aggrandisement in her era. Proceeding evidently neither by a
blueprint nor without some distinct conception of Russian interests, she was a
consummate opportunist, not always without mistakes certainly. All politics,
she famously observed, were reduced to three words, ‘circumstance, conjec-
ture, and conjuncture’,
4
and her diplomacy would be a monument to the
principle, if principle is what it was.
If Peter I’s achievements in Sweden and Poland had been considerable,
there had been some backsliding, some lost ground, in both areas during the
era of palace revolutions, and Catherine was to address herself to articulation
and repair. In both Poland and Sweden, she would meddle in constitutional
questions, as different as they were in the two environments, bribing and sup-
porting political parties in Sweden with money, in Poland supporting or sup-
pressing them with arms. The Turkish challenge she left for the presentation of
opportunity.
In the meantime, Catherine evidently appreciated what her neighbouring
great powers demonstrably did also, that the geographical position of Russia
in Europe enabled it to combine effectively with or against both the weak
border states and the more imposing great powers beyond them, while it was
difficult for the other powers to bring their strength to bear effectively against
Russia. She exploited these advantages artfully.
The first serious issue to arise was Polish. The Polish constitution was noto-
rious for the vulnerability of its vagaries: elective monarchy, liberum veto
and the armed confederacies that nourished seemingly perpetual civil war.
In this instance, August II was growing old and ill, suggesting a succession
crisis. Austria would support a Saxon candidate, because he would be hostile
to Prussia. Catherine had her own favourite, a genuine Piast, her own for-
mer lover, Stanislaus Poniatowski, acceptable also to Frederick II. Catherine
then chose to arrange an alliance with Prussia addressed chiefly to the Polish
3 V. A. Bil’basov, Istoriia Ekateriny Vtoroi, 3 vols. (1, 2, 12) (Berlin: Gottgeiner, 1896–1900),
vol. I, pp. 473–4.
4 A. V. Khrapovitskii, Dnevnik (St Petersburg: Tip. M. M. Stasiulevicha, 1874), p. 4.My
thanks to John Alexander for this reference.
508