810 RELIABILITY AND LIFE FOR BRITTLE MATERIALS
hanced degradation under stress. The statistical aspect of strength derives from
the distribution of the most severe defects in the components (i.e., the strength-
determining flaws).
9–15
The time-dependent aspect of strength results from the
growth of defects under stress and environment, resulting in time-dependent
component failure.
16–19
These concepts have lead to a lifetime prediction for-
malism that incorporates strength and crack growth as a function of stress. Pre-
dicted reliability, or lifetime, is only meaningful, however, when coupled with a
confidence estimate. Therefore, the final step in the lifetime prediction process
must be a statistical analysis of the experimental results.
2,20–22
While phenomenological, the reliability methodology has been useful in pre-
dicting lifetimes for myriad applications, including all-glass aircraft windows,
22
spacecraft
23,24
windows, flat panel displays,
25
optical glass fibers,
26
porcelain in-
sulators,
27
vitreous grinding wheels,
28
and electronic substrates.
29
Moreover, al-
though developed for isotropic and homogeneous materials, the methodology
appears to be generally valid for most fine-grain ceramic materials,
7,30–32
and
perhaps for single-crystal materials.
The lifetime prediction approach, described below, represents the currently
accepted procedures of reliability assessment for homogeneous, brittle materials.
There are, of course, a number of assumptions built into any technical procedure
and, frequently, these assumptions cannot be tested. The assumptions inherent
in steps associated with lifetime prediction are clearly stated in this chapter, and
implications that arise if the assumptions are violated are discussed at the end
of each section.
The structure of this chapter has been chosen to allow the user to access
easily regions of particular interest. It has been arranged to provide a general
overview of the processes involved in lifetime prediction of brittle materials
followed by a series of appendixes that describe the technical details and re-
quirements for each of the different stipulated experimental procedures. The
overview describes why the various measurement procedures are necessary and
how they fit into an overall lifetime prediction model. For details associated with
the derivation of the models, the user is directed to the references at the end of
the chapter.
3 OVERVIEW
General Considerations
The most basic assumption made in this chapter is that the material whose
lifetime is of interest is truly brittle; that means there are no energy dissipation
mechanisms (e.g., plastic deformation, internal friction, phase transformations,
creep) other than catastrophic bond rupture occurring during mechanical failure.
It has been well documented that brittle materials fail from flaws that locally
amplify the magnitude of stresses to which the material is subjected.
9,10,14,15,33
These flaws, e.g., scratches, pores, pits, inclusions, or cracks, result from proc-
essing, handling, and use conditions. For a given applied or residual stress, the
initial flaw distribution determines whether the material will survive application
of the stress or will immediately fail. Similarly, the evolution of the flaw pop-
ulation with time determines how long the surviving material will remain intact.
Other key assumptions in reliability predictions for brittle materials are that
the experiments used to determine inert strength distributions do not alter the