expressed in the proverbs that what’s done cannot be undone, and that it is
no use crying over spilt milk (cf. NE 6. 2. 1139b7–11).
The central part of de Interpretatione 9 is an inquiry into whether this kind
of necessity that applies to present and past propositions applies also to all
future propositions . There are, no doubt, universally necessary truths that
apply to the future as well as to the present and to the past: but Aristotle’s
attention focuses on singular propositions such as ‘This coat will be cut up
before it wears out’, ‘There will be a sea-battle tomorrow’. The truth or
falsity of such propositions is not, on the face of it, entailed by any universal
generalization.
However, it is possible to construct a powerful argument to the eVect
that such a proposition about the future, if it is true, is necessarily true. If
A says that there will be a sea-battle tomorrow, and B says that there will
not be, then one or other will be speaking the truth. Now there are
relations between propositions in diVerent tenses: for instance, if ‘Socrates
will be white’ is now true, then ‘Socrates will be white’ has been true in the
past, a nd indeed was always true in the past. So—the argument goes—
If it was always true to say it is or will be, then it is impossible for that not to be or
to be going to be. But if it is impossible for something not to come about, then it
cannot not come about. But if it cannot not come about, then it is necessary for
it to come about. Therefore everything that is going to come about is, of necessity,
to come about. (9. 18b11–25)
The argument that Aristotle is considering began by supposing that
someone says, for example, ‘There will be a sea-battle tomorrow’ and
someone else ‘There will not be a sea-battle tomorrow’ and pointing out
that one or the other is speaking truly. But, he goes on, a similar prediction
might have been made long ago, ‘There will be a sea-battle ten thousand
years hence’, and this too, or its contradictory, will be true. Indeed, it
makes no diVerence whether any prediction has ever been made. If in the
whole of time either the proposition or its contradictory has been the
truth, it was necessary for the thing to come about. Since of whatever
happens ‘It will happen’ was always previously true, everything must
happen of necessity (9. 18b26–19a5).
It will follow, Aristotle says, that nothing is a matter of chance or
happenstance. Worse, there will be no point in deliberating and choosing
between alternatives. But in fact, he says, there are many obvious examples
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