describe the orbital motion of Earth. The formation
of an equatorial bulge is caused by the rotation of
Earth, and other processes (e.g., the formation of
ice-caps at high latitudes and mantle convection) re-
distribute mass on Earth. These processes result in a
torque that is applied to Earth by the Sun, the Moon,
and the other planets. Approximately two thirds of
the torque is caused by the Moon, and one third by the
Sun. Similar to a spinning top, this applied torque
results in the nutation and precession of Earth’s spin
axis. Nutation is the short-term period portion
(periods 18.6 years) of these variations; precession
is the long-period portion. The nutational component
leads to a ‘nodding’ motion of Earth’s spin axis, with
main periods of 13 days, 6 months, 1 year, 9.3 years,
and 18.6 years, whereas the precessional component
makes Earth’s spin axis trace out a cone shape. The
short-term nutation component that is superimposed
on top of the longer term precession component is
illustrated in Figure 2, and the precession component
is illustrated in Figures 1 and 3. From a climatic per-
spective on geological time-scales, only the preces-
sion component has a significant effect; nutational
variations result in small, mainly atmospheric effects.
With respect to the fixed stars, the frequency p of
the precessional cycle has a period of approximately
25.8 ky. The precession of Earth’s spin axis has sev-
eral effects on Earth’s climate system, one of which is
that the position of the seasons with respect to Earth’s
orbit, defined by the solstices and equinoxes with
respect to the perihelion and aphelion of the orbit,
changes over time. For this reason, the precession of
Earth’s spin axis is also called the ‘precession of the
equinoxes’. As shown in Figure 1, the precession of
Earth’s spin axis traces out a cone shape that forms an
angle with Earth’s orbital plane. This angle, denoted
by e, is the obliquity (tilt) of Earth. The angle e
changes due to the combined effect of the precession
Figure 2 Short-term nutation motion of Earth’s spin axis, based
on nutation and precession model IAU2000A of the International
Astronomical Union. The nutation components in longitude and
obliquity are with respect to the equinox and ecliptic of date. The
figure is plotted for an 18.5-year period, beginning on 1 January
2004.
of Earth’s spin axis and the changing orientation of
Earth’s orbital plane (this will be discussed in more
detail in a following section).
As an approximation, the fundamental frequencies
g
i
and s
i
can be used together with the precession
constant p to explain the origin of almost all periodi-
cities that affect the climate system, which arise from
‘beats’ between the fundamental frequencies. How-
ever, Jacques Laskar discovered that additional reson-
ance terms are present in the Solar System, and these
lead to the presence of chaos. The presence of chaos
in the solar system has important consequences (see
later). How the three orbital parameters, eccentricity,
obliquity, and climatic precession, which are involved
in the calculation of the solar radiation, are related to
the fundamental frequencies of the Solar System is
discussed in the following sections. The main param-
eters, known as ‘Milankovitch cycles’, are illustrated
in Figure 3.
Eccentricity
Earth’s orbital eccentricity e quantifies the deviation
of Earth’s orbital path from the shape of a circle. It is
the only orbital parameter that controls the total
amount of solar radiation received by Earth, averaged
over the course of 1 year. The present eccentricity of
Earth is e 0.01671. In the past, it has varied be-
tween 0 and 0.06. The eccentricity value can be
used to compute the difference in the distance from
Earth to the Sun between their closest and furthest
approaches (perihelion and aphelion); presently, this
amounts to 2e 3.3%. At maximum eccentricity, the
annual variation of solar insolation due to eccentri-
city is thus 24%. Although the exact values of orbital
parameters should be computed by numerical inte-
gration, it is possible to approximate the calculation
as a series of quasiperiodic terms, some of which are
listed in Table 2. It is important to point out that the
eccentricity frequencies are completely independent
of the precession frequency p. Earth’s eccentricity
frequency component with the largest amplitude has
a period of approximately 400 ky, which arises mainly
from the interactions of the planets Venus and Jupiter,
due to their close approach and large mass, respect-
ively. This component is called the ‘long’ eccentricity
cycle, and of all of Earth’s orbital frequencies, it is
considered to be the most stable. Additional terms
can be found with periods clustered around 96
and 127 ky. These are called ‘short’ eccentricity
cycles.
An important feature of all orbital components is
the presence of ‘beats’. These arise from the inter-
action between different frequency components and
they produce a modulation in amplitude. This results,
for example, in an amplitude modulation of the short
eccentricity cycle, because the difference between the
412 EARTH/Orbital Variation (Including Milankovitch Cycles)