Together with improved and more detailed astronom-
ical models, the limits of accuracy of astronomical
calculations are also likely to extend further back
in time.
A clearer representation of chaos in the Solar
System is provided by amplitude modulation terms.
The 2.4- and 1.2-My-long amplitude modulation
terms that occur in the calculations of eccentricity
and obliquity, respectively, are in resonance, and the
expression (s
4
s
3
) 2(g
4
g
3
) ¼ 0 can evolve into a
new state, where (s
4
s
3
) (g
4
g
3
) ¼ 0. This implies
a change from a 1:2 resonance to a 1:1 resonance.
Laskar found this behaviour to be the main source
and representation of chaos in the Solar System. As
shown in Table 5, these terms are present in several
astronomical frequencies, and should be possible to
detect in the geological record.
Earth’s Orbital Variation Encoded in
Geological Data
The imprint of Earth’s orbital variation in geological
records, first statistically demonstrated in 1976 for
the recent geological past, in the seminal paper by
Hays and colleagues, has now been found throughout
parts of the Cenozoic and beyond, through variations
of stable isotope measurements that act as a proxy for
Earth’s climate system, as well as in a large number of
lithological parameters. A review of this body of data
is beyond the scope of the present discussion, but it is
illustrative to show at least one example of very high-
quality data that demonstrate the imprint of Earth’s
orbital variations in the rock record. Figure 10 shows
part of a record used to correlate geological data for
the past 30 My with astronomical calculations. The
record shows exceptionally well-encoded obliquity
and climatic precession cycles. Most importantly,
this record also demonstrates the consistent variation
in amplitude of the obliquity cycles. This can be
illustrated with the help of evolutionary spectral an-
alysis, whereby the relative amplitude at individual
frequencies is evaluated at different times. This is
shown in Figure 11.
Linking Earth’s orbital variations (Milankovitch
cycles) with geological records has caused controver-
sies as to whether the theory that orbital variations
driving Earth’s climate conditions can be correct. The
controversies stem from observations of palaeocli-
matic proxies from the recent past that reveal an
imprint that does not correspond to the expected
strength of orbital variations in insolation calcula-
tions, and instead suggest a nonlinear response of
the climate system at different orbital frequencies.
In particular, during the past 800 ky, the imprint of
eccentricity in stable isotope records has been much
stronger than expected. It is now becoming clear that
geological data show a wide variety of responses to
individual orbital frequencies, depending on factors
such as palaeolatitude, the prevailing oceanographic
system at the study site, global ice volume, etc., with
records showing much more variation than would
be expected from a simple insolation calculation.
A better understanding of the interaction between
Earth’s orbital variations and their imprint on the
climate system and geological records is likely going
to be gained from integrated Earth system model-
ling studies, making use of the growing body of ob-
servations that has been provided recently by ocean
drilling. As a final note, orbital variations also affect
the other planets of the Solar System, and recent
attempts have been made to link these to climatic
variations on Venus and Mars.
See Also
Analytical Methods: Geochronological Techniques.
Carbon Cycle. Earth Structure and Origins. Famous
Geologists: Agassiz. Gaia. Magnetostratigraphy. Mi-
crofossils: Foraminifera. Palaeoclimates. Solar
System: The Sun; Asteroids, Comets and Space Dust;
Meteorites; Mercury; Venus; Moon; Mars; Jupiter, Saturn
and Their Moons; Neptune, Pluto and Uranus. Tektites.
Tertiary To Present: Pleistocene and The Ice Age. Time
Scale.
Further Reading
Berger A, Imbrie J, Hays J, Kukla G, and Saltzman B. (eds.)
(1984) Milankovitch and Climate: Understanding the
Response to Astronomical Forcing. Dordrecht and
Boston: D. Reidel Publishing Company.
Berger A and Loutre MF (1994) Astronomical forcing
through geological time. In: de Boer PL and Smith DG
(eds.) Orbital Forcing and Cyclic Sequences (IAS Special
Publication), vol. 19, pp. 15–24. Oxford: Blackwell
Scientific.
Berger A, Loutre MF, and Tricot C (1993) Insolation and
Earth’s orbital periods. Journal of Geophysical Research
98(D6): 10341–10362.
de Boer PL and Smith DG (eds.) (1994) Orbital Forcing and
Cyclic Sequences (IAS Special Publication), vol. 19.
Oxford: Blackwell Scientific Publications.
Croll J (1875) Climate and Time in their Geological Rela-
tions: A Theory of Secular Changes of the Earth’s
Climate. London: Daldy, Tsbister and Co.
Einsele G, Ricken W, and Seilacher A (eds.) (1991) Cycles
and Events in Stratigraphy. Berlin: Springer Verlag.
Gilbert GK (1895) Sedimentary measurement of Cret-
aceous time. Journal of Geology III: 121–127.
Hays JD, Imbrie J, and Shackleton NJ (1976) Variations in
the Earth’s orbit: pacemaker of the Ice Ages. Science
194(4270): 1121–1131.
420 EARTH/Orbital Variation (Including Milankovitch Cycles)