FROM LOUIS XIV TO NAPOLEON
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seen as having a dimension that was less directly a product of the views and acts of individuals,
still less under their ready control. This dimension can be usefully discussed in terms of
structural – in other words, inherent – characteristics of the state system of the period,
provided only that it is not adopted as a mechanistic or reductionist analysis.
15
A major problem with systemic/structural approaches, however, is that they can employ
such an analysis and argue in terms of inevitability. Interests can appear clear-cut, alliances
predictable, conflict bound to arise. This is not, however, appropriate. None of the last three
postulates is supported by empirical research. Interests were not clear-cut, and even when
powers were separated by hostile interests that did not have to lead to war. This was true for
example of France and Russia in 1726–56 and 1763–87. In addition, periods of peace
between recent rivals were not simply opportunities to prepare for a fresh war. They could
witness close co-operation, as between France and Britain from 1716 to 1731, or France and
Austria in 1757. The co-operation did not have to be so close, but it could be such as to make
it unclear that conflict was bound to occur. If political differences drove Louis XIV to invade
the United Provinces in 1672, they did not prevent close co-operation between him and
William III of Orange in replanning the map of Europe and the New World in the Partition
Treaties of 1698 and 1700. This can be seen as a short-term agreement, a prelude to a bitter
war; but, to take another case, France attacked Austria in 1733, 1741 and 1792 and was allied
to it in 1756–91. More generally, France in 1700–60 fought Austria, Britain, the Dutch,
Spain and Prussia, but, far from this being a case of taking on the world in a struggle for
hegemony, she also had important alliances with each of these powers for at least part of the
period, and can be seen as a ‘sated’ or ‘satisfied’ power, willing to accept the restraints and
limits of her position, certainly in Europe in 1748–90.
Aside from a general scepticism about structural interpretations of international relations,
caution also arises from the difficulty of establishing how a system is supposed to work. If
a system and its development are defined, then it is all too easy to assume that events that
correspond to the system are explained by it and prove it, and that those that do not are due
to deviations from the model. This is intellectually flawed. In the case of international
relations, such deviations can be explained in terms of the personal idiosyncracies of particular
rulers. Such an interpretation was employed in eighteenth-century Europe when accounting
for the descriptive and prescriptive limitations of the leading theory of international relations,
that of the balance of power which drew heavily on the concept of natural interests. Thus,
the alliance with Austria from 1756 was blamed on Madame de Pompadour. Such specific
interpretations might or might not have been true – and they had, and have, the merit of
leaving a major role for contingencies and individuals – but they suffer from the assumption
that there was a core policy that was necessary and should have been obvious. In the
eighteenth century the notion of natural interest was as central to polemic about foreign
policy as it was to diplomatic analysis.