231Potential Remedies
membranes. As of 2005 more than 10,000 desalting plants had been installed or
contracted worldwide. Since 2000, desalination capacity has been growing at
approximately 7 percent per year. Over 130 countries utilize some form of
desalting technology (Gleick, 2006).
According to the World Bank, the cost of desalinized water has dropped from
$1 per cubic meter to an average of $0.50 per cubic meter in a period of five years
(World Bank, 2004). Costs are expected to continue to fall, though not as rapidly.
In the United States, Florida, California, Arizona, and Texas have the largest
installed capacity. However, actual production has been mixed. In Tampa Bay, for
example, a large desalination project was contracted in 1999 to provide drinking
water. This project, while meant to be a low cost ($0.45/m
3
) state-of-the-art
project, was hampered by difficulties. Although the plant became fully operational
at the end of 2007, projected costs were $0.67/m
3
(Gleick, 2006). In 1991, Santa
Barbara, California, commissioned a desalination plant in response to the previ-
ously described drought that would supply water at a cost expected to be $1.22/m
3
.
Shortly after construction was completed, however, the drought ended and the
plant was never operated. In 2000 the city sold the plant to a company in Saudi
Arabia. It has been decommissioned, but remains available should current supplies
run out. Despite the fact that 2007 was the driest year in over 100 years, the city
projects that the plant will not be needed in the near future. While desalination
holds some appeal as an option in California, it is only currently economically
feasible for coastal cities, and concerns about the environmental impacts, such as
energy usage and brine disposal, remain to be addressed.
11
In early 2011, a large desalination project in Dubai and another in Israel were
scrapped mid-construction due to lower-than-expected demand growth and cost,
respectively. These two projects represented 10 percent of the desalination market.
12
Summary
In general, any solution should involve more widespread adoption of the principles
of marginal-cost pricing. More-expensive-to-serve users should pay higher prices
for their water than their cheaper-to-serve counterparts. Similarly, when new,
much-higher-cost sources of water are introduced into a water system to serve the
needs of a particular category of user, those users should pay the marginal cost of
that water, rather than the lower average cost of all water supplied. Finally, when a
rise in the peak demand triggers a need for expanding either the water supplies or
the distribution system, the peak demanders should pay the higher costs associated
with the expansion.
These principles suggest a much more complicated rate structure for water than
merely charging everyone the same price. However, the political consequences of
introducing these changes may be rather drastic.
11
California Coastal Commission, http://www.coastal.ca.gov/.
12
Global Water Intelligence, Vol. 12, No. 1, http://www.globalwaterintel.com/archive/12/1/need-to-
know/desal-misery.html