207The Potential for Water Scarcity
While surface-water withdrawals in the United States have been relatively
constant since 1985, groundwater withdrawals are up 14 percent (Hutson et al.,
2004). Globally, annual water withdrawal is expected to grow by 10–12 percent
every ten years. Most of this growth is expected to occur in South America and
Africa (UNESCO, 1999).
Approximately 1.5 billion people in the world depend on groundwater for their
drinking supplies (UNEP, 2002). However, agriculture is still the largest consumer
of water. In the United States, irrigation accounts for approximately 65 percent of
total water withdrawals and over 80 percent of water consumed (Hudson et al.,
2004). This percentage is much higher in the Southwest. Worldwide in 2000,
agriculture accounted for 67 percent of world freshwater withdrawal and 86 percent
of its use (UNESCO, 2000).
2
Tucson, Arizona, demonstrates how some Western communities cope. Tucson,
which averages about 11 inches of rain per year, was (until the completion of the
Central Arizona Project, which diverts water from the Colorado River) the largest
city in the United States to rely entirely on groundwater. Tucson annually pumped
five times as much water out of the ground as nature put back in. The water levels
in some wells in the Tucson area had dropped over 100 feet. At those consumption
rates, the aquifers supplying Tucson would have been exhausted in less than 100
years. Despite the rate at which its water supplies were being depleted, Tucson
continued to grow at a rapid rate.
To head off this looming gap between increasing water consumption and declin-
ing supply, a giant network of dams, pipelines, tunnels, and canals, known as the
Central Arizona Project, was constructed to transfer water from the Colorado
River to Tucson. The project took over 20 years to build and cost $4 billion. While
this project has a capacity to deliver Arizona’s 2.8 million acre-foot share of the
Colorado River (negotiated by Federal Interstate Compact), it is still turning out to
not be enough water for Phoenix and Tucson.
3,4
Some of this water is being
pumped underground in an attempt to recharge the aquifer. While water diver-
sions were frequently used to bring additional water to water stressed regions in the
West, they are increasingly unavailable as a policy response to water scarcity.
Although the discussion thus far has focused on the quantity of water, quality is
also a problem. Much of the available water is polluted with chemicals, radioactive
materials, salt, or bacteria. We shall reserve a detailed look at the water pollution
problem for Chapter 18, but it is important to keep in mind that water scarcity has
an important qualitative dimension that further limits the supply of potable water.
Globally, access to clean water is a growing problem. Over 600 million people
lack access to clean drinking water—58 percent of those people are in Asia (UNDP,
2006).
5
Relocation of rivers to rapidly growing urban areas is creating local water
2
“Use” is measured as the amount of water withdrawn that does not return to the system in the form of
return or unused flow.
3
One acre-foot of water is the amount of water that could cover one acre of land, one foot deep.
4
An Interstate Compact is an agreement negotiated among states along an interstate river. Once ratified
by Congress, it becomes a federal law and is one mechanism for allocating water.
5
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=17891&Cr=water&Cr1