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The Russian Federation
Third,inaddition to their debts with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and the World Bank, the Russian government began borrowing money from
international markets. The Eurobond was the instrument of choice. By the
summer of 1998, the Russian government had borrowed $4.3 billion through
such medium and long-term instruments.
50
As a fourth new method for raising revenue, the Russian Finance Ministry
introduced new debt instruments in 1995, the short-term bond or gosudarstven-
nye kratkosrochnye obligatsii or GKO and the medium-term bond known by its
acronym, OFZ. GKOs matured after three or six months, making them espe-
ciallyattractive to those investors looking forquick turnaround on their money.
Many celebrated the GKOs as a particularly useful innovation since it brought
money into the Russian state coffers in a non-inflationary way, while at the
same time gave investors an incentive for maintaining low inflation rates and
a stable currency.
As a package, however, these schemes for maintaining stabilisation were
not sustainable in the long run. The GKO market grew exponentially. In
1994, the short-term bond market amounted to only $3 billion. By 1997,GKO
debts outstanding totalled $64.7 billion, which ballooned to $70 billion in the
summer of 1998.
51
In this same summer, two related external shocks – the
Asian financial crisis and falling oil prices – began to reverberate in Russia.
The same people who were losing money in South Korea had money tied
up in Russia.
52
To provide incentives for these investors to keep their money
in Russia, the Finance Ministry responded by continually raising the return
rates on GKOs.
53
A month before the crash, yields on these treasury bills had
reached 113 per cent.
54
The fall in oil prices decreased Russian export revenues,
causing the Russian current account to go from a $3.9 billion surplus in 1997 to
an estimated $4.5 billion deficit in 1998.
55
Russian tax receipts fell dramatically,
as did Central Bank reserves. In effect, the Russian government was bankrupt.
50 Joseph Kahn and Timothy L. O’Brien, ‘Easy Money: A Special Report: For Russia and
its U.S. Bankers, Match Wasn’t Made in Heaven’, New York Times, 18 Oct. 1998,p.1.
51 Hoffman, The Oligarchs,p.469.
52 On the worldwide crisis, see Paul Blustein, The Chastening: Inside the Crisis that Rocked
the Global Financial System and Humbled the IMF (New York: Public Affairs, 2001).
53 At first, the Russian government resisted IMF advice of raising interest rates, preferring
instead tospend foreigncurrency reservesto defendthe rouble.Eventually, however, they
were compelled to raise interest rates. See US GAO Report to the House Committee on
Banking and Financial Services, ‘Foreign Assistance: International Efforts to Aid Russia’s
Transition Have Had Mixed Results’, Nov. 2000,GAO-01–8,p.46.
54 John Thornhill, ‘IMF and Russia in a New Loan Accord’, Financial Times, 8 July 1998,
p. 2.
55 William H. Cooper, ‘The Russian Financial Crisis: An Analysis of Trends, Causes,
and Implications’, Report for Congress, 18 Feb. 1999,pp.98–578. Available online at:
www.cnie.org/nle/inter-16.html
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