tracking source reduction programs, household hazardous wastes, and program
effectiveness.
Identifying generation rates and management methods for commercial waste is
particularly important. On average, commercial waste accounts for 40% of the
municipal waste stream in North America, but percentages vary by community.
As an example, there are some rural areas that generate almost no commercial
waste. Construction and demolition debris is sometimes a major portion of the
waste stream and a good source of recyclable materials. Construction and
demolition debris can be included in commercial waste estimates or broken out
separately. The composition of commercial and industrial waste is significantly
different from that of residential waste. Residential waste includes high volumes
of paper, glass, food, and yard waste, whereas commercial and industrial waste
includes high volumes of paper, metals, and wood. The primary waste generators
in the commercial sector tend to be hotels, restaurants, shopping centers, and
hospitals.
Waste characterization studies need to be updated periodically to account for
changes in population density, industrial concentration, and community affluence.
To anticipate changes in the size and composition of the MSW stream and to
make decisions concerning its management, local officials generally make
projections of the future MSW stream based on the impact of at least two factors:
(a) demographics; and (b) recycling, composting, and source reduction programs.
Although consumer behavior and product composition also are important factors
affecting MSW generation and composition, the impact of these factors is
difficult to predict and can have an ambiguous overall affect. Some general
trends are, however, evident. The percentage of paper and plastics in the waste
stream is expected to continue increasing. Also, glass and steel containers are
likely to continue to be replaced by lighter materials, such as aluminum and
plastic. Changes in local industry and commerce will also affect the size and
composition of the commercial and industrial waste streams.
WASTE VOLUME GROWTH TRENDS
The volumes generated per capita also depend on similar if not the same factors
that influence composition. In the United States the combined MSW from
residents, businesses, and institutions exceeded 230 million tons (1999 data
reported by the EPA Web site: www.epa.gov). This figure represents about 4.6
lbs (2.09 kg) of waste per person per day. In contrast, in 1960, the U.S.
estimated MSW generation figure per capita was 2.7 lbs (1.22 kg). Trends in
MSW generation for the United States are shown in Fig. 1.