
Temperature profiles near the surface of an ice sheet 129
only the insulating effect of snow during the fall and winter, but also
warming by percolating meltwater in the late spring or early summer
and then lowering of the ice surface later in the summer. Combined,
these processes result in 15 m temperatures that are likely to be warmer
than the mean annual temperature, as noted.
Equation (6.32) can also be used to calculate effects of temperature
oscillations over longer time spans. For example, oxygen isotope vari-
ations in ice cores have revealed temperature cycles during the Pleis-
tocene that have a range ∼5
◦
C and a period of ∼2000 years. These
cycles were discovered by Dansgaard and Oeschger (1989) and are called
Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles (see also Dansgaard et al., 1993). Their
cause is not yet understood. With κ = 38 m
2
a
−1
,avalue appropriate
for ice at −10
◦
C, and a more liberal of 0.05θ
r
, z = 466 m. Thus,
such cycles would affect basal temperatures significantly only near the
margin where the ice was less than ∼500 m thick.
The speed, ˆw,ofpropagation of a temperature maximum or mini-
mum resulting from such a sinusoidal cycle of temperature is (2ωκ)
1/2
,
and the time lag between the maximum at the surface and the maximum
at some depth, z,isthus, z/ ˆw.Inthe case of the Dansgaard–Oeschger
cycles, the speed would be about 0.49 m a
−1
, and the signal would reach
a depth of 466 m after about 950 years.
Let us now consider the temperature profile in the firn area some
distance from an ice divide, a problem studied by Robin (1970). We
will restrict the problem to two dimensions; assume that strain heating is
negligible; and ignore conduction as K is low in firn, while the advective
terms are significant. Equation (6.13) then becomes:
∂θ
∂t
=−u
∂θ
∂x
− w
∂θ
∂z
(6.33)
∂θ/∂t may be thought of as being composed of two parts, a thickening
or thinning of the ice sheet with time, and climatic change, thus:
∂θ
∂t
= λ(˙ε
zz
H + b
n
) +
∂θ
o
∂t
Here, ε˙
zz
H represents the change in thickness of the ice sheet by flow (or
vertical strain), b
n
represents thickening by accumulation, and the differ-
ence between them is the net change in surface elevation. Multiplication
by the lapse rate, λ,orrate of decrease in temperature with increasing
elevation yields the resulting change in temperature at the glacier sur-
face. (As ε˙
zz
is normally compressive, or negative, in an accumulation
zone, ε˙
zz
H will be a negative number; b
n
is positive. If (ε˙
zz
H + b
n
) turns
out to be negative, representing net thinning, multiplication by the neg-
ative lapse rate yields a positive ∂θ/∂t.) To this is added any change in
temperature due to secular climatic change, ∂θ
o
/∂t.