92 The velocity field in a glacier
consistently falls short of the emergence velocity, the glacier is becoming
thicker and will advance, and conversely.
Other possibilities can also be visualized. For example, if the equality
in Equation (5.26) holds everywhere except in the lower part of the
ablation area where the ablation rate exceeds the emergence velocity, the
glacier may be in the final stages of adjustment to a climatic warming.
The implication of such a situation would be that the accumulation area
has essentially adjusted to the warming, but the glacier is still retreating
slightly.
We have shown that on a glacier that is in a steady state and that
has a balanced mass budget, the velocity field at the surface is related to
b
n
.Itisinstructive to consider in greater detail the physical mechanisms
behind this relation. In this case, b
n
is the independent variable, and
the velocity field is the dependent variable. (In a larger system involv-
ing glacier–climate interactions, b
n
would be dependent upon the cli-
mate.) The physical mechanism by which b
n
and the velocity field are
related is viscous flow, in which the flow rate increases with the driving
stress, ρghα. If the velocities are, say, too low (in absolute value), the
submergence velocity will be less than the accumulation rate so the
glacier will become thicker in the accumulation area (Figure 5.10a).
Similarly, the emergence velocity will be less than the ablation rate, so
the glacier will become thinner in the ablation area (Figure 5.10b). The
slope of the glacier surface thus increases. The increase in slope, cou-
pled with the increase in thickness in the accumulation area, increases
the driving stress and hence u
s
. Because u = 0atthe head of the glacier
and at the terminus, an increase in u
s
in the middle makes ∂u/∂x more
extending in the accumulation area and more compressive in the ablation
area. Thus, by the arguments leading to Equation (5.26), |w
s
| increases.
The increases in both u
s
and |w
s
| tend to restore the steady state.
Flow field
We now have the tools needed to make a first-order estimate of the flow
field in a glacier, given b
n
(x). In a steady-state situation, Equation (5.1)
gives the depth-averaged horizontal velocity, u(x), which is probably
sufficient for most applications. However, various levels of sophistication
could be added; Equations (5.16) (with z =H) and (5.19) could be solved
simultaneously for u
s
and u
b
, and Equation (5.16) could then be used
to estimate the variation in u with depth. This would give u(x,z). Then,
Equations (5.24) and (5.26) provide a reasonable first estimate of w(x,z).
Thus, one could plot vectors u and w at a large number of points in a
glacier cross section and sketch flowlines based on these vectors. The
result would be flowlines much like those in Figure 3.1.