48 The Undermining of Austria-Hungary
even more that it was his leaders who were the obstacles to peace. Yet, such a
rebuff was also bound to lead to a scaling down of the Central Powers' propa-
ganda campaign
since, as Ludendorff argued (and the Austrians agreed), there
was always the danger that too many overtures would be viewed as weakness by
the Russians and exploited in their counter-propaganda.
42
In fact, events in May 1917 developed very much as Ludendorff anticipated.
Although the allies' arguments struck many chords among Russian troops in
different sectors,
43
the Russian commanders, against all odds, were still man-
aging to
keep some lid on the unrest in the ranks. In this they were aided, or at
least so the Central Powers always imagined, by Entente advisers whose counter-
propaganda, `conducted
with great skill and unscrupulous means' had, so
far, `visibly won the upper-hand on the Eastern Front'.
44
In the middle of May
the Germans proceeded to test the water by sending out some officers, armed
with the armistice offer, to the Russian 5th army commander General Drago-
mirov; he
immediately exploited the incident for counter-propaganda, publi-
cizing the
event as an instance of the enemy's deviousness in trying to weaken
the Eastern Front. On 19 May the Germans and Austrians followed up their
move along the whole front. Almost 100 parlementaires were dispatched across
the trenches bearing proposals from Prince Leopold of Bavaria, Commander-
in-Chief of the Eastern Front, for a general armistice. The Russian response,
however, was still overwhelmingly negative with a number of the emissaries
being fired on or arrested as spies.
45
The DOHL and AOK readily admitted that this direct approach to the Russian
commanders had been a complete failure. Yet they had, as we have seen, always
viewed it as something of a gamble. It did not mean, as Arz and others would
later suggest, that the propaganda campaign as a whole had failed, nor ± as the
Austrian official history implies with selective quotations ± that the Central
Powers' `peace propaganda' was at an end.
46
True, on 29 May Arz informed
Czernin that `the means of the allied armies for continuing peace propaganda
in the Russian army are, as recent days have shown, now exhausted'. But he
acknowledged the results so far achieved: the Russians had been paralysed at a
time of decisive hostilities in the West (the 10th Isonzo battle in Italy and the
Nivelle offensive in France) and their infantry were still not capable of launch-
ing an
offensive for some time.
47
Indeed, as a number of German and Austrian
authorities observed, the steady flow of propaganda in May coupled with the
armistice offer had served to increase further the gap between the Russian
officer and his men. It had caused a rise in fraternization (contact with 70 per
cent of Russian or Romanian divisions by the end of the month), and provided
fertile ground for future peace initiatives. Most significantly, the `broad thrust
into the enemy front' in mid-May had supplied `a deep insight into the morale
and conditions of the Russian army', something not possible from casual
fraternization.
48