branch observed in minimum evolution trees, and for its unex-
pected
central placement. This
is
at
odds with
the
archeological
information
on
settlement times, according to which
the
European
branch should depart from
the
tree
as
represented
in
the
constant
evolutionary rate tree.
Length
of
Branches
in
Trees
When
we see different branch lengths in a
tree
reconstructed by
the minimum evolution method,
the
simplest hypothesis is that a
short branch is
the
result
of
a slow rate
of
evolution
in
that
region
and a long branch
that
of
a locally rapid evolution.
Two major evolutionary
factors-drift
and natural selection--can
change in important ways from one place to another.
Drift affects all
genes.
For
a particular population, drift has about the same intensity
for each gene,
as
a function
of
the population's "effectiVe size:·
As
opposed
to
census size, effective size refers only
to
those people who
reproduce, the generation intermediate between those too young
or
too old to do so--approximately one-third
of
the
total population. Nat-
ural selection,
on
the other hand,
is
free to change any gene,
in
any
population,
at
any time.
It
is likely that only a few genes are under
strong natural selection for any long period
of
time.
The
genes for
·which we see maximal differentiation and that appear to
be
under the
effect
of
selection varying randomly
in
space and time (like the HLA
or
antibody genes) produce evolutionary trees similar to those
obtained with genes subject to drift.
It
is,
therefore, unlikely that a
short
or
a long branch can
be
traced to differences
in
natural selection.
So, is drift responsible for variation in branch lengths? Demo-
graphic information can help
to
evaluate this possibility.
In
the
case
of
a small island
that
has
not
had
any
recent
immigration, drift
might explain a long branch. Numerous examples exist. Easter
Island is very far from
both
the
South American coast
and
the
other
Polynesian islands.
The
demographic history is known in
broad
out-
line,
and
it
shows
that
a severe population bottleneck occurred in
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