Fallacy and Fear
Over the course of four years, the Soviets went from representing no threat,
to being a threat, to being the threat. What is most remarkable is that while
USFA’s assessments changed radically from 1945–48, this transformation
had very little to do with the intelligence on hand. A detailed review of the
command’s reports demonstrates conclusively that the United States did not
have the evidence to accurately gauge changes in Soviet behavior. Rather,
USFA reinterpreted available evidence to meet current requirements.
Indeed, the character of raw intelligence information collected during
these years changed little. Throughout this period, the command received
reports on border incidents, KPÖ activity, the kidnapping of Austrian citi-
zens, military training and maneuvers, and economic penetration of the
economy. However, reports that were ignored or explained away in 1945,
were mentioned in 1946, and highlighted as the root of all troubles by 1948.
From the outset, there is little doubt that senior commanders knew full
well about the scope of Soviet misconduct. General Clark described Soviet
behavior during this period as “Russians running around killing, looting,
stealing, raping.”
43
At the time, however, these incidents were interpreted as
unfortunate shortcomings, misunderstandings, or minor irritants. The dif-
ficulties were part of the challenge of working with multinational forces;
they were no more ominous than the problems frequently experienced in
working with the French. Soviet activities were not portrayed as symp-
tomatic of any real security threat to the United States.
By mid-1947, U.S. forces began to highlight the kinds of Soviet and
communist behavior that had been all but ignored in the previous years of
the occupation. In addition, not only were similar kinds of activities being
cited as indicators of a growing danger, but previous acts were resurrected
and reinterpreted as threats as well. One military report cited disputes over
food distribution, disagreements over denazification, Tito’s postwar inva-
sion of Carinthia, disruption of transit to Vienna, and disagreements over
reparations, to portray a pattern of Soviet action consistent with attempting
to exert hegemony over the country. Past intelligence was used to confirm a
deliberate, aggressive strategy in Austria dating back to the earliest days of
the occupation.
44
In the end, it was the identification of the Soviet Union as
a threat that provided mission focus and clarified for USFA’s analysts the am-
biguities in Soviet behavior.
Increasing tensions between East and West, fueled by several dramatic
regional developments, provided further impetus to view events in Austria
as part of an orchestrated campaign of Soviet hostility. On Europe’s periph-
ery, Soviet and U.S. interests clashed in Greece, Turkey, and Iran. In 1947,
largest single industry 91