V. Dividend Policy and
16. The Dividend
A number of researchers have attempted to tackle these problems and to mea-
sure whether investors demand a higher return from high-yielding stocks. Their
findings offer some limited comfort to the dividends-are-bad school, for most of
the researchers have suggested that high-yielding stocks have provided higher re-
turns. However, the estimated tax rates differ substantially from one study to an-
other. For example, while Litzenberger and Ramaswamy concluded that investors
have priced stocks as if dividend income attracted an extra 14 to 23 percent rate of
tax, Miller and Scholes using a different methodology came up with a negligible 4
percent difference in the rate of tax.
35
The Taxation of Dividends and Capital Gains
Many of these attempts to measure the effect of dividends are of more historical
than current interest, for they look back at the years before 1986 when there was a
dramatic difference between the taxation of dividends and capital gains.
36
Today,
the tax rate on capital gains for most shareholders is 20 percent, while for taxable
incomes above $65,550 the tax rate on dividends ranges from 30.5 to 39.1 percent.
37
Tax law favors capital gains in another way. Taxes on dividends have to be paid
immediately, but taxes on capital gains can be deferred until shares are sold and
capital gains are realized. Stockholders can choose when to sell their shares and
thus when to pay the capital gains tax. The longer they wait, the less the present
value of the capital gains tax liability.
38
CHAPTER 16 The Dividend Controversy 451
35
See R. H. Litzenberger and K. Ramaswamy, “The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax
Effects or Information Effects,” Journal of Finance 37 (May 1982), pp. 429–443; and M. H. Miller and M.
Scholes, “Dividends and Taxes: Some Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Political Economy 90 (1982),
pp. 1118–1141. Merton Miller provides a broad review of the empirical literature in “Behavioral Ratio-
nality in Finance: The Case of Dividends,” Journal of Business 59 (October 1986), pp. S451–S468.
36
The Tax Reform Act of 1986 equalized the tax rates on dividends and capital gains. A gap began to
open up again in 1992.
37
Here are two examples of 2001 marginal tax rates by income bracket:
Income Bracket
Marginal Tax Rate Single Married, Joint Return
15% $0–$27,050 $0–$45,200
27.5 $27,051–$65,550 $45,201–$109,250
30.5 $65,551–$136,750 $109,251–$166,500
35.5 $136,751–$297,350 $166,501–$297,350
39.1 Over $297,350 Over $297,350
Source: http://taxes.yahoo.com/rates.html.
There are different schedules for married taxpayers filing separately and for single taxpayers who are
heads of households.
38
When securities are sold capital gains tax is paid on the difference between the selling price and the
initial purchase price or basis. Thus, shares purchased in 1996 for $20 (the basis) and sold for $30 in 2001
would generate $10 per share in capital gains and a tax of $2.00 at a 20 percent marginal rate.
Suppose the investor now decides to defer sale for one year. Then, if the interest rate is 8 percent, the
present value of the tax, viewed from 2001, falls to 2.00/1.08 ⫽ $1.85. That is, the effective capital gains
rate is 18.5 percent. The longer sale is deferred, the lower the effective rate will be.
The effective rate falls to zero if the investor dies before selling, because the investor’s heirs get to
“step up” the basis without recognizing any taxable gain. Suppose the price is still $30 when the in-
vestor dies. The heirs could sell for $30 and pay no tax, because they could claim a $30 basis. The $10
capital gain would escape tax entirely.