THE
GREY-CAMBON LETTERS
467
fleet,
added Mr
Churchill,
involved a considerable
reorganisation
of
the
British
fleet to
maintain
the
margin
of
safety.
The
full-commis-
sioned
battleships
in
home
waters
would be raised
from
sixteen
to
twenty-four.
The
Mediterranean was
quite
safe,
for
neither
Austria
nor
Italy
possessed
a
Dreadnought.
The British
and
French
fleets
were
superior
to
any possible
combination.
Mr
Balfour,
following
the First
Lord
in
debate,
declared
the
speech
calculated to cause even
graver
anxiety
than
that
of
the
Foreign Secretary
in
1909.
The
best
hope
for
the
preservation
of
peace lay
in
the
system
of
alliances,
which
enabled
one Power
to
restrain
a
colleague
within its
own
group
from
precipitate
action. Three
days
later,
the
Prime-Minister,
in
opening
a
debate
on
the
Committee
of
Imperial
Defence,
made
a
reassuring
statement. "We cultivate with
great
and
growing cordiality
our
special friendships;
but
they
are
in no sense exclusive. Our
relations with the
great
German
empire
are at this
moment
—
and
I
feel
sure are
likely
to remain
—
relations
of
amity
and
good
will.'
'
The
concentration
of our naval forces was facilitated
by
the fact
that France had
to
face
the
prospect
of
dealing
with the combined
fleets
of
Austria and
Italy,
and
therefore desired
to
focus her
whole
Battle-fleet
in
the Mediterranean
1
.
This
involved
exposing
the Atlantic
and
Channel coasts to attack
;
but
it
was
anticipated
that
the
British
fleet
would fill
the
vacuum. In
the
early
autumn,
accordingly,
it
was
announced
that the
Third
French Battle
Squadron,
based
on
Brest,
was
to
join
the First
and
Second
in
the
Mediterranean;
and,
in
the
spring
of
1913,
the
whole of
the Atlantic defence
flotillas
were de-
mobilised and
the defence
of
the
ports
was handed over
to the
army.
There
only
remained at the northern bases
six old armoured
cruisers,
and
the flotillas which were to
cooperate
in
the defence
of the
Channel.
These
momentous
changes
appeared
to
necessitate
a closer
political
understanding.
"
The British and
French General
Staffs,"
writes
M. Poincare
2
,
"
had ex-
amined a
hypothetical
programme
of
defence
;
but even
if
wewere
the
victims
of an
unjustifiable
attack,
the
British
Government
had entered
into
no
engagement
towards
us. We
could
not
abandon the
safeguarding
of the
Channel
and
our
Atlantic coasts
without
being
assured
that
in case
of
danger
discussions
would take
place
on the
attitude,
and
if
necessary
the
practical
measures,
to
be taken.
Accordingly
M.
Cambon,
with
my
approval,
proposed
to the British
Ministry
to record
in an
exchange
of
letters
the
mutual
assurance
that,
if
the
peace
of
Europe
was
threatened,
1
See Sir
J. Corbett,
Naval
Operations,
I.
7-9.
2
Poincar£,
Les
Origines
de la
Guerre,
pp. 79-81.
30
—
2