240 STATISTICAL METHODS OF GEOPHYSICAL DATA PROCESSING
an applicability of the information criterion (7.17), (7.18) for choosing of the de-
gree of polynomial (Akaike, 1974). Under assumptions concerning normality and
noncorrelatedness of the random component, the least squares estimate
ˆ
ρ
ρ
ρ coincides
with the maximum likelihood estimate, which is used in the function IC(S
m
,
ˆ
ρ).
For simplicity we consider an one-dimensional approximation of the horizon along
the profile and two-dimensional generalization present no difficulties. Let us find
an explicit form of the function of the information criterion for the polynomial of
degree m. We substitute to the formula (7.17) the normal density function and
with the help of the estimate, obtained by the maximum likelihood method for the
variance of the random component:
IC(m,
ˆρ
ρ
m
) = J log 2π + J + J log ˆσ
2
+ Km,
where unlike the criterion (7.17), before a number of parameters instead of term 2
the term K is introduced. This term can be chosen empirically using some model
experiments, for a better reflection of the specificity of the solved problem. As it
will be clear below, the algorithm is stable in a wide range of K deviation. Because
the two initial terms in the expression IC(m,
ˆ
ρρ
m
) do not change at changing of
degree of the polynomial, then for the practical using the function IC(m,
ˆρ
ρ
m
) can
be written down as
IC(m,
ˆ
ρρ
m
) = J log ˆσ
2
+ Km.
Let us consider an application of the criterion. Taking into account a priori
information we determine a maximum degree of polynomial M, calculate the esti-
mates
ˆ
ρ
m
, ˆσ
2
and the values IC(m,
ˆ
ρρ
m
), m = 1, 2, . . . , M. As an estimate of the
degree of a polynomial we choose
ˆm = arg min[IC(m,
ˆ
ρ
m
)].
The mean values of IC(m) are represented in Fig. 8.7, a). These values are
obtained on the base of the model experiments with the various realization of the
random component. The criterion function IC(m) rises sharply from the left hand
side of its true value and from the right hand side the function rises not so sharply,
that, in the case of high noise level, can leads to a bias of estimate of the degree
of the polynomial. The study of the influence of the dispersion on the criterion
implementation is represented at Fig. 8.8. Let’s note, that beginning from the
variance σ
bd
, the estimate of the polynomial degree ˆm has a systematic bias, i.e.
its value one unit smaller than the true value. Let us consider the results of model
experiments for studying of the influence of the nonstationarity of the noise. For
various values of K criterion gives the estimate of the polynomial degree, which
coincides with the true value (see Fig. 8.7(b)), that illustrates the robustness of the
criterion with the presence of the nonstationary noise.