opposition Conservative ranks wanted. Further, Britain was spending on
the navy twice the amount that Germany allocated. This expenditure
ensured the readiness of the navy for war. This letter’, Churchill wrote
Garvin, ‘is for your private eyes alone, and I write it because you are a
patriot and deserve to be reassured. As long as we do not relax our
exertions, and proceed on the sober lines I have laid down, we shall—in
the absence of any new development—break these fellows hearts in
peace, or their necks in war.’
48
Churchill’s public statements and behind-
the-scenes lobbying helped to avert a panic reaction in Britain to
Germany’s naval buildup. The government’s program, as forcefully
presented by Churchill, appeared to provide for the country’s security
against the growing German threat. Only the extreme right, represented
by Leo Maxse’s National Review, for example, found Churchill incorrigible
and blasted his program as totally inadequate in meeting Britain’s
defense requirements. By Churchill’s management of his own party, the
opposition, and opinion makers, he had formed a consensus in the center
of the political spectrum about how to stay ahead of Germany in the
naval arms race.
The grim determination of Britain’s leaders to stay ahead of Germany
in the naval competition was captured in the parliamentary debates
during July 1912 over Churchill’s request for supplementary funds and
imperial defense. No fewer than five future First Lords, in addition to
Churchill, spoke in these debates about Britain’s strategic predicament
and the nature of the German threat.
49
Churchill led the debate by giving
a masterful presentation on the new amendment to the German navy law,
its strategic implications, and how the government intended to respond.
In addition to the German shipbuilding increases, Churchill underscored
the improvement that would take place in the combat readiness of
Germany’s battle fleet. Instead of keeping only two squadrons (or 17
battleships) ready for service without the prior mobilization, the 1912
amendment to the German navy law increased the number of ready
battleships to 25. This 50 per cent increase in combat readiness greatly
improved Germany’s ability to fight at sea at short notice and increased
the danger of a German surprise first-strike. ‘Taking a general view’,
Churchill told the House of Commons, ‘the effect of the Law will be that
nearly four-fifths of the entire German Navy will be maintained in
permanent full commission—that is to say, instantly and constantly ready
for war. Such a proportion is remarkable, and, so far as I am aware, finds
no example in the previous practice of modern naval Powers.’ The
message delivered by Churchill was that no quick fixes or panic effort on
Britain’s part could address the strategic problem posed by Germany’s
naval buildup. Instead, Churchill envisioned an open-ended competition,
calling for a long-term buildup of British naval power as a response. ‘Cool,
steady, methodical preparation, prolonged over a succession of years’,
22 CHURCHILL AND STRATEGIC DILEMMAS BEFORE THE WORLD WARS