Navy in his efforts to foster expanded and strengthened armed forces.
76
However, the RAF had pride of place in his thinking. The advent of the
Abyssinian crisis crystallized his views. As pointed out above, until early
in the 1930s, he had never been an advocate of active involvement on the
continent to maintain the balance of power—for him, the Empire stood as
the raison d’être of British great-power status.
77
But if he began to muse
sporadically about the efficacy of the balance in 1934, he embraced it by
the late summer of 1935. ‘Mussolini’s Italy may be quite different to that
of the Great War’, he told Hoare in August. The only safe ruling is to
provide superior material forces easily concentratable and if our sailors
are better that is a make-weight.’
78
His goal involved keeping Anglo-
Italian relations on an even keel to maintain the balance against possible
German pretensions—beyond rearming, Hitler had thus far conducted a
relatively quiescent foreign policy. In this respect, the League might
provide a forum for resolving the crisis. As he remarked to Vansittart: ‘It
seems to me the only chance of avoiding the destruction of Italy as a
powerful and friendly factor in Europe.’
79
As 1936 began, and as Baldwin’s political position became impregnable
because of the National government’s victory in the November 1935
General Election, Churchill’s conception of British strategy and that of the
National government were essentially at one: increase the strength of the
armed forces and rely on the balance of power to preserve stability on the
continent. The difference between Churchill and the government lay with
the speed of British rearmament. At the base of this difference resided
Churchill’s personal political ambitions. Even before the election, he and
his supporters looked to pressure Baldwin and Chamberlain, who had
emerged as Baldwin’s successor as Conservative leader and Prime
Minister, to create a Ministry of Defence with a single minister. ‘On 2
June’, he learnt in September 1935 from the influential editor of the
Observer, J.L.Garvin, ‘I gave Baldwin the terse memorandum urging him
to make you the creator of Air Parity which by a grand effort—with our
financial resources and unemployed—could be done in a year, giving
us time to make the rest secure and to remake the Navy.’
80
In late 1935
and early 1936, private lobbying became public in part when the former
Chief of the Air Staff, Lord Trenchard, criticized the COS in the The Times
for being unable to make decisions on essential issues of defense.
81
Added to increasing public concern over the need to improve British
defense, in which Sir Basil Liddell Hart, The Times’ military
correspondent, supported Trenchard, the matter entered Parliament. On
Valentine’s Day 1936, the Commons debated a private member’s bill on
reorganizing defense.
82
The bill never came to a vote, but it proved to be
a catalyst within the government to resolve this pressing matter. For
more than a month, Baldwin, Chamberlain, and a clutch of senior civil
service advisers had considered the matter. Taking the point for those
CHURCHILL AND THE GERMAN THREAT,1933–39 101