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Page 461
continue to exist as a great or powerful nation after we have lost or renounced the sovereignty of America'. He
foretold a continuing connection between America and France; the loss of Britain's American trade followed soon
by that of Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and Canada; enemy cruiser bases in Bermuda and the Bahamas to strangle
the homeward bound West India trade in time of war; and the West Indies themselves, bereft of all supplies except
from England, soon to fall to the French and Americans.1
Germain did not pretend that the hope of recovering America was bright. The betrayal of the loyalists in the
Yorktown capitulation might prevent them from trusting to British protection again. But he believed that the future
of Britain depended on keeping what was still held, and fighting through to a settlement on a basis of uti possidetis.
In possession of New York, Charleston and Savannah we would safeguard the extensive trade which he believed
was going through them, and retain summer stations and staging posts from which winter operations could be
mounted in the West Indies. Thus, he contended, the huge death-rate in the Caribbean could be reduced, by
seasoning troops from Europe and providing cool cantonments in the hot weather. If one considers how in the next
war with France the British army was wrecked by West Indian diseases, one cannot lightly dismiss this part of his
argument.2
How the struggle could be continued he suggested at the King's request in a memorandum circulated to the
Cabinet. With superiority at sea Nova Scotia, Penobscot, New York, Charleston, Savannah and East Florida could
all be defended by the forces already there; and any surplus could take up the plan so often recommended but
never seriously adopted, of attacking the rebel coasts in conjunction with inroads from Canada, and supporting any
loyalists bold enough to trust us after Yorktown. On the treatment of the loyalists in the Yorktown capitulation he
felt great bitterness3; and he touched
1 Wraxall Memoirs, II, 465; CL, Germain, preamble to the memorandum printed in Sackville, II, 216. This,
though dated 1782 by the Clements Library in the Germain and Shelburne papers, seems to me to belong to
the period between 28 Nov. (cf. G 3449) and 8 Dec. (cf. reference to possibility that no more fresh corps
may be sent to America, and Cabinet Minute in G 3462).
2 Preamble, loc. cit. Ideally, he said, troops should sail from England for the West Indies on 1 September, to
arrive at the opening of the healthy campaigning season in the Caribbean; but at that time enemy fleets were in
the Channel, inward bound convoys were expected, and no escort could be spared. Reinforcements therefore
tended to sail later, and arrive about the beginning of the hot weather: if they could be sent to a summer station
in America their losses could be avoided. The contention is supported in Mackenzie, 554; and cf. table of
losses in Appendix I, below.
3 He ordered the Admiralty to court-martial the captain of the Yorktown cartel ship (the ill-famed Bonetta) for
refusing to take off more than a dozen loyalists and neglecting those he did take. (CO 5/255, p. 124).
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