The Second Constitutional Period, 1908–1918
the British,
40
made Great Britain their natural first choice for an alliance as
soon as they came to power.
41
They were to be disappointed. When the new
leaders proposed to Sir Edward Grey that Great Britain consider an alliance
with ‘the Japan of the Near East’, he politely turned them down.
42
Against
the common threat of Russia, Germany was an obvious second choice. As
early as August 1908, in a transparent bid to open the door for an alliance, the
CUP relayed a message to the Germans, informing them that in the event of
a ‘general European conflict, the Ottoman empire would take the German
side’.
43
But Wilhelm II, who wished to preserve the benefits of the Ottoman–
German partnership established under the old regime, and had high hopes
for future Ottoman military capacity with German training,
44
was unable to
deliver the sort of fundamental guarantees the CUP so desperately needed.
With key German allies Austria-Hungary and Italy waiting in the wings to
pounce upon the Ottoman periphery (e.g., Bosnia and Herzegovina, Albania,
Tripoli of Barbary and Cyrenaica), the emperor was not yet in any position to
guarantee Ottoman territorial integrity, let alone enlargement.
Both these failed attempts to secure a Great Power alliance underscored the
extent to which the Ottoman strategic environment had deteriorated since
the late nineteenth century. First and foremost was the transformation of
British defence interests in the Middle East following the occupation of Egypt,
formalised in 1896 by Lord Salisbury’s decision to base Great Britain’s defence
of her interests in the Near East on Egypt. For the Ottomans, this meant the
abandonment of a half-century of unspoken British commitment to upholding
the status quo in the Ottoman core. A related factor was the gradual removal
of British restraints on Russian expansionism. The Anglo-Russian d
´
etente of
1907, a catastrophe from the Ottoman perspective, completed the process
of isolation by removing the enmity upon which the defence of the empire
ultimately rested. The obvious German alternative was never as good as the
British alignment had been, in particular because the German drang nach Osten
40 See, for example, Bahaeddin S¸akir, ‘Yirminci asırda Ehl-i Salib ve
˙
Ingiltere dostlu
˘
gu!’,
S¸
ˆ
ura-yı
¨
Ummet 132 (1 April 1908), pp. 2–3.
41 See, for example, ‘Osmanlılar ve
˙
Ingilizler,’ S¸
ˆ
ura-yı
¨
Ummet, 16 December 1908.
42 Grey to Lowther, 13 November 1908 (private), Sir (Viscount) Edward Grey’s private
papers, Turkey, 1905–10, PRO/F.O. 800/79.
43 Lancken to B
¨
ulow, Paris, 18 August 1908 (A.13323), Nachlaß F
¨
ursten von B
¨
ulow,
Bundesrachiv (Berlin), nr. 82.
44 See his minute on von Metternich’s memorandum dated 14 August 1908/no. 8906,
Die große Politik der europ
¨
aischen Kabinette, vol. XXV/2: Johannes Lepsius, Albrecht
Mendelssohn Bartholdy and Friedrich Thimme (eds.), Die english-russische Entente und
der Osten, Berlin: Deutsche Verlagsgesellschaft f
¨
ur Politik und Geschichte, 1925), p. 608.
85