126 10 Discussion and Conclusion
No one predicted it, so it came as a surprise that the intuitive expectation of
A
B
0
→K
+
π
−
A
B
+
→K
+
π
0
is not realized in Nature. As seen from (2.7), (2.8), and
(2.9), even the sign seems different between A
B
0
→K
+
π
−
and A
B
+
→K
+
π
0
, and the
difference between the two DCPV asymmetries is larger than the well-measured
A
B
0
→K
+
π
−
. Stimulated by this, already in 2005, we proposed [12] that this could
be due to the effect of the fourth generation. The insight came from noting the
nondecoupling nature of the heavy chiral t
quark in the electroweak penguin, that
the effect grows with m
2
t
, just like the top, and that it brings in the CKM factor
V
t
s
V
∗
t
b
, carrying with it a new CPV phase. Having shown that this is feasible in
detailed PQCD factorization model calculations [13], we also showed that ΔS dips
by −0.1, which is in the right direction, and by a tolerable amount, given that the
ΔS problem had technically disappeared in summer 2008.
Of course, the doubt was raised [14, 15] that a rather enhanced color-suppressed
amplitude C, if it has very different strong phase than the tree amplitude T , could
also generate ΔA
Kπ
. Although the hadronic “smearing” is by far not as severe
as in kaon physics, such as in ε
/ε, this nagging doubt caused many people to
not take this potential hint of New Physics seriously. See Sect. 2.2 for further
discussion.
However, by noting that the m
t
()
dependence of the box diagram, which gov-
erns B
s
–
¯
B
s
mixing, is rather similar to the electroweak penguin diagram, we made
the prediction already in 2005 [16, 17], that TCPV in tagged B
s
→ J/ψφ, i.e.,
sin 2Φ
B
s
is large and negative. This was refined [16, 17] in 2006 with the precise
measurement of Δm
B
s
by CDF [18] to sin 2Φ
B
s
=−0.5to − 0.7, i.e., (3.25).
The prediction is based on assuming that the large effect in ΔA
Kπ
receives a major
contribution from New Physics in P
EW
, where the negative sign of sin 2Φ
B
s
is cor-
related with the sign of ΔA
Kπ
. Since sin 2Φ
B
s
is the CPV phase of M
s
12
,theB
s
–
¯
B
s
mixing amplitude which is dominated by short distance physics, it does not suffer
from hadronic uncertainties [19], just like sin 2Φ
B
d
≡ sin 2φ
1
/β that was measured
by Belle and BaBar. This was discussed at some length in Sect. 3.2.3. We then
discussed in Sect. 3.2.4 the exciting development since late 2007, that data at the
Tevatron seem to support (3.25). If this holds true, then it seems that the Tevatron
could discover New Physics CPV in tagged B
s
→ J/ψφ, which would then be
quickly confirmed by LHCb, once the latter takes real data.
As discussed in Sect. 5.1, there is also an indication of deviation from SM in
A
FB
(B → K
∗
+
−
). As seen from Belle and BaBar data, there seems to be better
agreement with SM4 rather than SM3. This again can be checked soon with preci-
sion by the LHCb experiment. As further corollaries, one could find support from,
the following:
1. A percent level A
B
+
→J/ψ K
+
, which could show up in Tevatron data and likely
LHCb data.
2. Normal looking B(b → sγ ), but eventually direct CPV in A(b → sγ ) at percent
level, while absence of S
B
0
→K
S
π
0
γ
because of absence of RH currents.
3. D
0
meson mass mixing x
D
∼ 1–2% (already observed but marred by long dis-
tance physics) and small but finite TCPV in D
0
-mixing.