34 An Economic History of
the
English Poor Law
parliamentary enclosures, leading him to question "the capacity of enclo-
sure ... to provide greater and more regular employment throughout
the year for the growing male labour force." Moreover, county-level
wage data for 1767 and 1795 suggest that the trend in agricultural labor-
ers'
wages was not affected by the extent of parliamentary enclosures
before 1793. From 1767 to 1795, real wages declined on average by
18.6%
in the southeastern counties where parliamentary enclosure was
most prominent before 1793 (Northampton, Oxford, Huntingdon, Buck-
ingham), and by 18.5% in the counties least affected by enclosure
(Kent, Essex, Sussex, Suffolk, Hertford).
30
Available wage and employ-
ment data therefore do not support the hypothesis that enclosures signifi-
cantly increased the long-run demand for agricultural labor.
31
Agricultural laborers residing in parishes enclosed before 1750 were
not immune to the effects of rising wheat prices. According to Hobs-
bawm (1968: 82), the concentration of landholding in response to in-
creased land values "took place in open and enclosed country, among
new or old enclosures, through expropriation, forced or voluntary
sales."
Before the rise in prices, laborers in enclosed parishes were often
able to rent allotments to produce a part of their subsistence. As wheat
30
County-level wage data are given in Appendix A. Data on the extent of enclosure are
from Turner (1980: 186-8). Of course, wages were determined by labor supply as well as
demand. Population growth is the best available proxy for changes in labor supply. From
1751 to 1801, population increased by 27% in the high-enclosure counties, compared to
40%
in the low-enclosure rural counties. (I excluded Kent because of its large urban
component. Kent's population increased by 88% from 1751 to 1801.) Population data
are taken from Deane and Cole (1967: 103). In other words, labor supply increased
faster in the low-enclosure counties than in the high-enclosure counties. Although one
should not place too much weight on these calculations, they suggest that, before 1795,
the demand for labor grew at least as rapidly in areas where enclosures did not take place
as in areas where enclosures occurred. One possible explanation for this result is that
very little common or waste land was enclosed in grain-producing areas during this
period (Turner 1980: 188-9). Thus, the increase in the amount of land under cultivation
might have been no larger in high-enclosure counties than in low-enclosure counties.
31
One further piece of evidence in support of my conclusion is Crafts's (1978: 180-1)
finding that, at the county level of aggregation, "the rate of outmigration was . . .
positively associated with the proportion of the county enclosed parliamentarily after
1801."
On the other hand, Tucker (1975: 244) found a negative relationship "between
the level of relief expenditure [1817-21] and the proportion of county land enclosed
1761-1820" in grain-producing regions. This suggests that enclosures did indeed cause
an increase in either wage rates or employment opportunities. However, I suspect that
Tucker's result is to a large degree spurious, caused by the extremely high per capita
relief expenditures in the long-enclosed counties of Sussex, Kent, Essex, and Suffolk. If
Tucker had used as his independent variable the share of county land enclosed as of
1820,
I suspect his results would have been significantly different. Unfortunately, I was
unable to obtain data on the share of county land enclosed as of 1820, and therefore
could not test my hypothesis.