who were imprisoned in Loughgall church, then marched to Portadown and
drowned in the River Bann, some after being tortured. In another well attested
case about thirty were herded into a house at Shewic and burnt alive in it.
Refugees were soon landing in England with harrowing tales of murder,
mutilation, and rape, which seemed to bear out the wildly exaggerated reports
in the public prints of a general massacre. Generally the rebel leaders did what
they could to restrain the savagery, and some catholic priests ritually cursed
those who perpetrated it, warning the people against bringing down the
wrath of God on what for them was a holy cause and a fight for the faith. We
who have seen in our own time how far humanity can be forgotten in the heat
of racial hatred, ethnic cleansing, religious fundamentalism, and reaction
against colonial exploitation should not find it difficult to comprehend what
happened in Ulster, which had elements of all these phenomena.
Modern catastrophes of such kinds, however, at least stand some chance of
accurate and objective reporting, whereas what England heard and read of
Ireland in 1641–2 was not only grossly overstated from the start, but dwelt
solely on one side’s atrocities. It is still very hard to form an estimate of how
many perished in the Ulster rebellion. A careful attempt has been made for
Armagh, one of the province’s nine counties, which probably had between
3,000 and 5,000 settlers in 1641.
6
Reports of the numbers killed, whether in
‘massacres’ like Portadown or in individual murders, yield a minimum of 527
and a maximum of 1,259. Allowing for a tendency to exaggerate, balanced by
some incompleteness in the evidence, one might conclude that about a fifth of
the settler population was actually killed; the estimates do not include deaths
by exposure. These calculations, lacking in precision as they necessarily are,
suggest that the most widely accepted older estimate (made by Ferdinando
Warner, an Anglican parson, in 1767) of 4,028 murder victims and perhaps
twice as many refugees who died of cold, sickness, or hunger
7
is of the right
order of magnitude, though it does not refer exclusively to Ulster. Con-
sidering that there were about 34,000 English and Scottish settlers in the
province in 1641, these figures are tragic enough. But they bear no relation to
the ‘statistics’ of protestants killed in Ireland that circulated most widely in
England: 154,000 in April 1642, rising to 250,000 in 1644 and 300,000 in
what became the standard authority, Sir John Temple’s The Irish Rebellion
of 1646. If it had been known that in 1641 there were fewer than 100,000
protestants in all Ireland, the absurdity of these confident allegations should
have been self-evident, but this was a pre-statistical age.
Three Kingdoms in Crisis 197
6
Hilary Simms, ‘Violence in County Armagh, 1641’, in Ulster 1641, ed. Mac Cuarta,
pp. 123–43.
7
F. Warner, The History of the Rebellion and Civil War in Ireland (1767), p. 297. Among
those who have accepted Warner’s estimate as the best available are W. E. H. Lecky (in History
of Ireland in the Eighteenth Century, I, 46–89), Gardiner, History of England, X, 69, and A New
History of Ireland, III, 291–2.
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