Probability, necessity and free will
How long will it be before we read adverts like this in our newspapers?
VACANCY OF XTJB/25 TYPE - LONDON
TLB pic are in urgent need of a button-pusher for their new AXK mobile
hypermarket complex.
Minimum 10 years' experience with buttons vital.
M.Sc., Ph.D. plus two other post-graduate qualifications essential, preferably 1st
Class.
15 good references indispensable.
Applications must be accompanied by a 10,000-word thesis on a subject of
candidate's choice.
The successful candidate will be required to attend work between the hours of
09.00 and 09.10 and again between 17.55 and 18.00 two days a week.
He or she will have to write up full reports on each pushing.
Participation in in-service training schemes is compulsory, attendance at all
lectures and seminars obligatory.
This position is restricted to those in the 35 to 38 age-group; voluntary
redundancy may be taken at the age of 40, when the worker appointed will be able
to draw a full pension - type Y2a.
Deadline for applications: 31.12.01
[4j Finally, read this extract from the British news and note some of the degrees of
probability it deals with.
'Good morning, and here is the 8 o'clock news, here on Radio Sunshine, for today,
April 1st.
•
Hopes were fading last night of a peaceful settlement of the border dispute
between North
and
South Wales.
A
long, bitter struggle
now
looks
inevitable
after
the predictable breakdown of yesterday's talks.
Fears are growing for the lives of the fifteen people whose boat capsized and sank
off the Isle of Wight early yesterday morning. A diver at the scene said: "There's
really not the remotest chance of any of them being found alive now'. The accident
was almost certainly caused by the unexpected change in weather conditions at
that
time
and may
have
happened
as
close
as
twenty metres
from
the
shore.
The safety of the 250 passengers hijacked late yesterday afternoon was still in the
balance last night. The ten billion dollars had definitely not been paid by the
midnight deadline, and it seems unlikely that it will be in the foreseeable
future. What the hijackers' next move will be is anybody's guess.
Prospects of an end to the three-month-old strike of Public Service Employees still
look slim. A union spokesman is quoted as saying: 'There's no possibility of any
progress while the Government remain so stubborn. There's no way we'll accept
two and a
half
per
cent'.
A
Government Minister
commented:
'An
increased
offer
is
absolutely out of the question, certainly this year and most likely for some years
to come.'
It looks as if unemployment figures, interest rates and inflation are all certain to
continue rising. Cabinet Misisters now admit there is very little likelihood of any
improvement before the end of the decade. Meanwhile BP have announced that in
all probability they will be forced to put up their petrol prices by 15% from next
month.
It is
thought
that
their
competitors
are
bound
to
follow
suit.
A
further
increase before the end of the year has not been ruled out, while heavier taxation on
petrol is still very much on the cards.
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