DECLINING FORTUNE
170
A tiny, devastated patch of earth is his sole gain [won] with extraordin-
arily high casualties, while our losses were far less...So the battle of
Flanders was a heavy defeat for the enemy [and] a great victory for us.
18
Rupprecht’s post-battle assessment served as the concluding paragraph to a
Reichsarchiv
monograph written 11 years later by Werner Beumelburg. Rupprecht
claimed victory, but so did Haig. Both had a case. While the Germans could
argue that they had – despite British superiority in numbers and matériel – been
able to suck their foes into the swamps of Ypres and inflict grievous casualties
in a battle of attrition, Haig could and did say that his offensive drastically
weakened the Germans and paved the way for the final Allied victory 12 months
later. The point is irresolvable, since Ludendorff, using knowledge acquired from
the Somme and Aisne offensives (as well as Falkenhayn’s Verdun attack of
1916), had induced the British into a battle where
they
might be and were, almost,
bled white. This had dramatic consequences for Gough’s weakened Fifth Army,
which crumbled before Ludendorff’s spring offensive of 1918.
The raw and callous figures of a comparative body count can never tell the
whole story, even in a battle fought on purely attritional grounds. The British at
Third Ypres had seen many of their finest units decimated in attacks against
positions held by soldiers who were anything but the
crème de la crème
of the
German Army. Most of the 86 German divisions engaged were of the second class,
albeit well trained in the skills of defensive trench warfare. Some élite units of
Sturmtruppen
were also thrown in for short, sharp counter-attacks and pulled out
quickly when their short-term objective was achieved. Since the British were
obliged to keep their best attacking troops in action so as to exploit the first sign
of enemy weakness, the diminishing cream of the British Empire was pitted
against men who, in a military sense, were more expendable. Yet even without a
qualitative evaluation of losses, the Germans clearly won the battles of attrition
of late 1917. Official British figures reveal that at Third Ypres and Cambrai, the
British suffered 448,614 casualties against German losses of 270,710. At the
Somme in the previous year, the story had been much the same, with the British
losing 481,842 and the Germans 236,194. When
French
losses for the Battle of
the Somme are considered (about 250,000), the Germans, on the defensive, were
winning the attritional battles that Haig and Edmonds later claimed as Allied
successes, by a ratio of about 3:1. Nonetheless, some British historians have
discounted or ignored their own official statistics in favour of the figures ‘sup-
porting’ the claim that while the Germans constantly underestimated their losses,
the British (for reasons that were scarcely convincing) overestimated theirs.
19
Although the British ‘step-by-step’ principle of limited objectives was an
improvement on the costly assaults of the Somme, the Germans had been working
to improve their defensive tactics, so much so that they later claimed not only to
know where the British intended to strike, but to have their tactical measure. The
British never ‘sufficiently considered the new elastic defensive pattern of the