indexes. Furthermore, countries that rank 20 positions
higher on the TTCI are the Gambia, South Africa,
Tunisia, Turkey, Rwanda, Morocco, Indonesia, Vietnam,
Senegal, Guatemala, Zimbabwe, Egypt, and—the first
two among the advanced economies—Portugal and
Austria.
At the bottom end of the table, countries are found
that rank rather more poorly on the TTCI than would
be expected according to their level of development as
indicated by their HDI ranking. For 31 countries (23
percent), the TTCI rank is between 5 and 14 positions
lower than the HDI rank; for another 24 countries
(18 percent), the TTCI is 15 or more positions lower.
Countries with a difference of 30 or more in their
ranks on the two indexes are: Libya, Kuwait, the Islamic
Republic of Iran, Paraguay, Israel, Venezuela, Brunei
Darussalam, and Algeria.
It is interesting to note that many emerging
economies that feature at the top end of this alternative
ranking are successful tourism destinations, while at the
bottom end are many countries that have not yet been
able to fully realize their tourism potential.
The scatter plot in Figure 1 illustrates the close
overall correlation between the HDI and the TTCI. For
the group of 31 economies around the diagonal (marked
with a solid gray circle), the development of the tourism
sector is broadly in line with what one would expect
given the general level of development, as the difference
between a country’s positions on each Index is less than
5 positions. For the group above the line, the TTCI rank
is higher than the HDI rank; and for the group below,
vice versa. Outliers on the top left-hand side represent
countries where TTCI consistently exceeds HDI, such
as Thailand, China, India, the Gambia, and South Africa,
while those at the bottom right-hand side of the graph
represent countries where conditions for tourism devel-
opment have not kept pace with overall development
(e.g., Libya and Kuwait).
Conclusions
The overall analysis confirms that the TTCI, as a matter
of course, tends to rank advanced economies higher
than countries at lower stages of development. In a way,
this is inevitable because it reflects the better overall
conditions in those economies. Comparing rankings
relative to stages of development shows that, given
comparable resources, some economies are able to create
rather better conditions for tourism development than
others.
Nevertheless, the impression remains that the TTCI
favors advanced economies and insufficiently reflects
the progress made by many emerging and developing
economies. To do justice to the rising stars of world
tourism among the emerging economies, it might be
necessary to make changes to the way these countries
are perceived alongside the established destinations.
In this respect, with regard to future editions of the
TTCI, it might be worthwhile taking the following into
account:
• It is vital to continue reviewing the Index, its pillars,
and its indicators with a critical eye, in order to see
whether the model needs adjustment or whether
the indicators need to be revised. Of course, the
availability of suitable indicators is always a con-
straint, but that challenge should not be avoided.
• It is essential to study successful emerging destina-
tions in greater depth to determine whether there
are specific factors that can explain their progress.
Until now, advanced economies have been very
much taken as the model of development that
should be replicated. For emerging destinations,
additional or alternative factors might play a key
role.
• The Index might have to be supplemented with
indicators that show the improvement of an
existing situation. This would mean, in addition to
absolute indicators (stock), including more relative
indicators (flow) that reflect the progress made in
certain areas. For instance, in the case of infrastruc-
ture, as well as including the absolute volumes (i.e.,
operating airlines, telephone lines, hotel rooms), the
Index might also include the increase in these
respective volumes over a specific period (i.e., the
number of additional airlines, telephone lines, and
hotel rooms).
• The weighting of pillars might be reconsidered.
Currently, all pillars are weighted equally within
their respective subindexes, yet one could question
whether it is appropriate to treat Price competitiveness
in the T&T industry and ICT infrastructure, for
instance, on an equal footing, since the first might
be much more decisive in determining T&T com-
petitiveness than the latter.
Even though there is always room for improvement,
the current Index is still a very valuable and useful tool
for different countries to assess their strengths and weak-
nesses and to give some indication about what they
should focus their efforts on. The importance of com-
paring countries with their relevant peers should not be
underestimated. It is possible to make a valid evaluation
of one’s own relative position only by comparing one-
self with destinations at a comparable stage of develop-
ment. Countries at a more advanced stage of develop-
ment should not be taken as the norm for one’s own
ranking (it is less useful to compare one’s performance
with that of Switzerland if resources in the two coun-
tries are very different). However, higher-ranking coun-
tries can always serve as a reference for pointing out
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1.3: Tourism Development in Advanced and Emerging Economies
The Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Report 2011 © 2011 World Economic Forum