January 27, 2004 15:47 Elsevier/AID aid
238 8 synoptic-scale motions ii
level by theoreticians and a steering level by synopticians. For long waves and
weak basic state wind shear, the solution given by (8.21) will have c
r
< U
3
, there
is no steering level, and unstable growth cannot occur.
Differentiating (8.26) with respect to k and setting dU
T
/dk = 0 we find that
the minimum value of U
T
for which unstable waves may exist occurs when
k
2
=
√
2λ
2
. This wave number corresponds to the wave of maximum instabil-
ity. Wave numbers of observed disturbances should be close to the wave number
of maximum instability, for if U
T
were gradually raised from zero the flow would
first become unstable for perturbations of wave number k = 2
1/4
λ. Those per-
turbations would then amplify and in the process remove energy from the mean
thermal wind, thereby decreasing U
T
and stabilizing the flow. Under normal con-
ditions of static stability the wavelength of maximum instability is about 4000 km,
which is close to the average wavelength for midlatitude synoptic systems. Fur-
thermore, the thermal wind required for marginal stability at this wavelength is
only about U
T
≈ 4ms
−1
, which implies a shear of 8 m s
−1
between 250 and
750 hPa. Shears greater than this are certainly common in middle latitudes for the
zonally averaged flow. Therefore, the observed behavior of midlatitude synoptic
systems is consistent with the hypothesis that such systems can originate from
infinitesimal perturbations of a baroclinically unstable basic current. Of course in
the real atmosphere many other factors may influence the development of syn-
optic systems, e.g., instabilities due to lateral shear in the jetstream, nonlinear
interactions of finite amplitude perturbations, and the release of latent heat in pre-
cipitating systems. However, observational studies, laboratory simulations, and
numerical models all suggest that baroclinic instability is a primary mechanism
for synoptic-scale wave development in middle latitudes.
8.2.2 Vertical Motion in Baroclinic Waves
Since the two-level model is a special case of the quasi-geostrophic system, the
physical mechanisms responsible for forcing vertical motion should be those dis-
cussed in Section 6.4. Thus, the forcing of vertical motion can be expressed in
terms of the sum of the forcing by thermal advection (evaluated at level 2) plus the
differential vorticity advection (evaluated as the difference between the vorticity
advection at level 1 and that at level 3). Alternatively, the forcing of vertical motion
can be expressed in terms of the divergence of the Q vector.
The Q vector form of the omega equation for the two-level model can be derived
simply from (6.35). We first estimate the second term on the left-hand side by finite
differencing in p. Using (8.4) and again letting ω
0
= ω
4
= 0, we obtain
∂
2
ω
∂p
2
≈
(
∂ω/∂p
)
3
−
(
∂ω/∂p
)
1
δp
≈−
2ω
2
(
δp
)
2