College Algebra—
The basic concepts involved in calculating a regression equation were presented in
Modeling with Technology I. In this section, we extend these concepts to data sets that
are best modeled by power, exponential, logarithmic, or logistic functions. All data
sets, while contextual and accurate, have been carefully chosen to provide a maximum
focus on regression fundamentals and related mathematical concepts. In reality, data
sets are often not so “well-behaved” and many require sophisticated statistical tests
before any conclusions can be drawn.
A. Choosing an Appropriate Form of Regression
Most graphing calculators have the ability to perform several forms of regression, and
selecting which of these to use is a critical issue. When various forms are applied to a
given data set, some are easily discounted due to a poor fit. Others may fit very well for
only a portion of the data, while still others may compete for being the “best-fit” equa-
tion. In a statistical study of regression, an in-depth look at the correlation coefficient
(r), the coefficient of determination (r
2
or R
2
), and a study of residuals are used to help
make an appropriate choice. For our purposes, the correct or best choice will generally
depend on two things: (1) how well the graph appears to fit the scatter-plot, and (2) the
context or situation that generated the data, coupled with a dose of common sense.
As we’ve noted previously, the final choice of regression can rarely be based on
the scatter-plot alone, although relying on the basic characteristics and end behavior
of certain graphs can be helpful (see Exercise 58). With an awareness of the toolbox
functions, polynomial graphs, and applications of exponential and logarithmic func-
tions, the context of the data can aid a decision.
EXAMPLE 1
Choosing an Appropriate Form of Regression
Suppose a set of data is generated from each context given. Use common sense,
previous experience, or your own knowledge base to state whether a linear,
quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, or power regression might be most
appropriate. Justify your answers.
a. population growth of the United States since 1800
b. the distance covered by a jogger running at a constant speed
c. height of a baseball t seconds after it’s thrown
d. the time it takes for a cup of hot coffee to cool to room temperature
Solution
a. From examples in Section 4.5 and elsewhere, we’ve seen that animal and
human populations tend to grow exponentially over time. Here, an exponential
model is likely most appropriate.
b. Since the jogger is moving at a constant speed, the rate-of-change is
constant and a linear model would be most appropriate.
c. As seen in numerous places throughout the text, the height of a projectile is
modeled by the equation where h(t) is the height after
t seconds. Here, a quadratic model would be most appropriate.
d. Many have had the experience of pouring a cup of hot chocolate, coffee, or tea,
only to leave it on the counter as they turn their attention to other things. The
hot drink seems to cool quickly at first, then slowly approach room temperature.
This experience, perhaps coupled with our awareness of Newton’s law of
cooling, shows a logarithmic or exponential model might be appropriate here.
Now try Exercises 1 through 14
h1t216t
2
vt k,
¢distance
¢time
MWTII–1 491
Modeling with Technology II Exponential, Logarithmic, and Other
Regression Models
WORTHY OF NOTE
For more information on the
use of residuals, see the
Calculator Exploration and
Discovery feature on
Residuals at www.mhhe.
com/coburn
A. You’ve just learned
how to choose an appropriate
form of regression for a set
of data
Learning Objectives
In this feature you will learn how to:
A. Choose an appropriate
form of regression for a
set of data
B. Use a calculator to obtain
exponential and logarith-
mic regression models
C. Determine when a
logistics model is appro-
priate and apply logistics
models to a set of data
D. Use a regression model
to answer questions and
solve applications
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