Edwards then presents a theory, based on the time value of money, that
partially supports the potential tax liability explanation of discounts. Most
investors who buy closed-end funds have an investment horizon longer than
the length of time in which the average CEIC realizes and distributes gains.
They will pay taxes on those gains earlier than they will realize the loss from the
ex-distribution fall in the fund’s share price. Thus, investo rs buying a fund
containing unrealized portfolio appreciation are subject to a utility sacrifice.
Edwards finds, however, that the utility sacrifice does not entirely explain the
discounts. He concludes that the argument that funds should sell at a discount
substantially equal to the built-in tax liability is not valid.
Malkiel, Burton G. ‘‘The Valuation of Closed-End Investment Company
Shares.’’ Journal of Finance 32 (June 1977), 847–859.
Malkiel begins by discussing the various explanations offered for discounts
on closed-end fund shares: (1) unrealized capital appreciation, (2) distribut ion
policies, (3) investments in restricted stock, (4) holding of foreign stock, (5) past
performance, (6) portfolio turnover, and (7) management fees. Using multiple
regression analysis, he examines the relative importance of these factors.
With a sample of 24 closed-end funds, Malkiel measures each of these
parameters between 1967 and 1974 by regressing the average discount for the
funds during the year against these factors. The results from the multiple
regression suggest that: (1) discounts are positively related to unrealized capital
appreciation, distribution policies, restricted stock, and foreign stock holdings,
and (2) turnover rates, management fees, and past performance do not signifi-
cantly contribute to closed-end fund discounts.
Finally, Malkiel examines the time-series behavior of discounts by regressing
average discounts against a measure of net open-end fund redemptions, changes
in the level of the Standard & Poor’s Stock Composite Index, and a dummy
variable equal to one when a major brokerage house terminated the marketing
of the closed-end fund shares in 1970 and zero otherwise.
He concludes that net open-end fund redemptions, which proxy for inves-
tors’ sentiments about investment companies, are related positively to closed-
end fund discounts. Likewise, discounts rise when marketing efforts are reduced
and the level of the market falls. Malkiel contends that, given the low explana-
tory power of his model, his findings may indicate that closed-end funds are not
priced efficiently.
Mendelson, Morris. ‘‘Closed-End Fund Discounts Revisited.’’ Financial Review
(Spring 1978), 48–72.
In this 1978 article, Mendelson attempts to explain why shares of closed-end
funds usually sell at a discount from net asset value. Using yearly, monthly and
quarterly data gathered for nine closed-end investment companies, he tests ten model
specifications and 15 independent variables for the period 1961–1971. Mendelson
employs pooled and fund-specific data to analyze the effect of unrealized gains,
management expenses, and past performance on discounts, observing whether the
behavior of discounts is related directly to fluctuations in the fund’s stock.
16 4 Closed-End Funds Issues and Studies