
ɬɨ ɜ ɞɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɨ ɦɚɥɨɣ ɨɤɪɟɫɬɧɨɫɬɢ ɧɭɥɹ ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɨɫɬɶ ɬɪɢɜɢɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɹ
ɧɟɥɢɧɟɣɧɨɣ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɵ (3.3.3) ɢɦɟɟɬ ɬɨɬ ɠɟ ɯɚɪɚɤɬɟɪ, ɱɬɨ ɢ ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɨɫɬɶ
ɬɪɢɜɢɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɹ ɥɢɧɟɚɪɢɡɨɜɚɧɧɨɣ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɵ (3.3.4). Ɉɞɧɚɤɨ ɟɫɥɢ
ɥɢɧɟɚɪɢɡɨɜɚɧɧɚɹ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɚ ɢɦɟɟɬ ɨɞɧɨ ɢɥɢ ɛɨɥɟɟ ɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɣ ɫ ɧɭɥɟɜɨɣ
ɞɟɣɫɬɜɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɣ ɱɚɫɬɶɸ ɢ ɧɟ ɢɦɟɟɬ ɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɣ ɫ ɩɨɥɨɠɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɣ
ɞɟɣɫɬɜɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɣ ɱɚɫɬɶɸ, ɬɨ ɧɟɥɢɧɟɣɧɚɹ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɚ ɛɭɞɟɬ ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɚ, ɧɟɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɚ ɢɥɢ
ɚɫɢɦɩɬɨɬɢɱɟɫɤɢ ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɚ ɜ ɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɨɬ ɫɜɨɢɯ ɧɟɥɢɧɟɣɧɵɯ ɱɥɟɧɨɜ.
Ⱦɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨ ɬɟɨɪɟɦɵ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɧɚɣɬɢ, ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɭ Ʉɨɞɞɢɧɝɬɨɧɚ ɢ Ʌɟɜɢɧɫɨɧɚ
(1955)
ɢ ɭ ɗɪɪɨɭɫɦɢɬɚ ɢ ɉɥɟɣɫɚ (1982).
Ɇɵ ɧɟ ɛɭɞɟɦ ɨɫɬɚɧɚɜɥɢɜɚɬɶɫɹ ɧɚ ɭɫɥɨɜɢɹɯ ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɨɫɬɢ ɥɢɧɟɣɧɵɯ ɫɢɫɬɟɦ, ɬɚɤ
ɤɚɤ ɢɯ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɧɚɣɬɢ ɜ ɥɸɛɨɦ ɫɬɚɧɞɚɪɬɧɨɦ ɭɱɟɛɧɢɤɟ ɩɨ ɞɢɮɮɟɪɟɧɰɢɚɥɶɧɵɦ
ɭɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɹɦ.
ɑɬɨɛɵ ɩɪɨɢɥɥɸɫɬɪɢɪɨɜɚɬɶ ɩɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɟ ɫɮɨɪɦɭɥɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɲɟ ɤɨɧɰɟɩɰɢɣ ɤ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟ, ɦɵ ɪɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɢɦ ɦɨɞɟɥɶ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɪɨɫɬɚ, ɭɱɢɬɵɜɚɸɳɭɸ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɨɟ
ɨɛɪɚɳɟɧɢɟ. ɉɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ ɷɬɚ ɦɨɞɟɥɶ ɛɭɞɟɬ ɜɫɬɪɟɱɚɬɶɫɹ ɜ ɤɧɢɝɟ ɢ ɞɚɥɶɲɟ, ɦɵ ɞɚɞɢɦ
ɡɞɟɫɶ ɟɟ ɩɨɞɪɨɛɧɵɣ ɚɧɚɥɢɡ (ɫɦ. Ɂɚɧɝ, 1989).
ɇɢɠɟ ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɚɝɚɟɬɫɹ, ɱɬɨ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɚɹ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɹ ɢɞɟɧɬɢɱɧɚ ɬɨɣ, ɱɬɨ
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɚ ɜ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɋɨɥɨɭ. ɉɪɟɞɩɨɥɚɝɚɟɬɫɹ ɬɚɤɠɟ, ɱɬɨ ɛɥɚɝɨɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɟ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ
ɦɨɠɟɬ ɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɢɜɚɬɶɫɹ ɧɟɫɤɨɥɶɤɢɦɢ ɜɡɚɢɦɨɢɫɤɥɸɱɚɸɳɢɦɢ ɩɭɬɹɦɢ. Ⱦɟɧɶɝɢ,
ɛɟɫɩɥɚɬɧɨ ɝɟɧɟɪɢɪɭɟɦɵɟ (ɜɜɨɞɢɦɵɟ ɜ ɨɛɨɪɨɬ) ɩɪɚɜɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨɦ, ɫɥɭɠɚɬ ɦɟɪɨɣ.
Ⱦɟɧɶɝɢ ɬɪɟɛɭɸɬɫɹ ɞɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ ɫɞɟɥɨɤ ɢ ɢɧɜɟɫɬɢɰɢɢ. ɋɩɪɨɫ ɧɚ ɞɟɧɶɝɢ ɡɚɜɢɫɢɬ ɨɬ
ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɞɨɯɨɞɨɜ ɢ ɛɥɚɝɨɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɹ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ. Ɉɞɧɚɤɨ ɞɥɹ ɩɪɨɫɬɨɬɵ ɦɵ
ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɵɣ ɫɩɪɨɫ ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɟɣ ɞɨɯɨɞɚ
ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ, ɛɥɚɝɨɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɹ ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɩɪɢɛɵɥɢ, ɨɠɢɞɚɟɦɨɣ ɩɪɢ
ɞɚɧɧɨɦ ɜɥɨɠɟɧɢɢ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɚ. ɉɪɟɞɩɨɥɚɝɚɟɬɫɹ, ɱɬɨ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɵɣ ɪɵɧɨɤ ɜɫɟɝɞɚ ɧɚɯɨɞɢɬɫɹ
ɜ ɪɚɜɧɨɜɟɫɢɢ, ɬ. ɟ. ɫɩɪɨɫ ɧɚ ɞɟɧɶɝɢ ɜɫɟɝɞɚ ɪɚɜɟɧ ɩɪɟɞɥɨɠɟɧɢɸ. ɉɪɟɞɩɨɥɚɝɚɟɬɫɹ
ɬɚɤɠɟ, ɱɬɨ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɹ ɫɩɪɨɫɚ ɧɚ ɞɟɧɶɝɢ ɢɦɟɟɬ ɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɣ ɜɢɞ:
ɝɞɟ ɬ (=M/L, ɝɞɟ Ɇ — ɨɛɴɟɦ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɵɯ ɡɚɩɚɫɨɜ, a L — ɬɪɭɞɨɜɵɟ ɪɟɫɭɪɫɵ) — ɷɬɨ
ɨɛɴɟɦ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɵɯ ɡɚɩɚɫɨɜ, ɩɪɢɯɨɞɹɳɢɣɫɹ ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ, G — ɧɟɩɪɟɪɵɜɧɚɹ
ɮɭɧɤɰɢɹ ɫɜɨɢɯ ɚɪɝɭɦɟɧɬɨɜ, ɭ — ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢ ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ,
w (= pk +
ɬ, ɝɞɟ ɪ — ɰɟɧɚ) — ɷɬɨ ɛɥɚɝɨɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɟ ɜ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɨɦ ɷɤɜɢɜɚɥɟɧɬɟ . ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ
ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ, ɚ r — ɨɠɢɞɚɟɦɵɣ ɩɪɢɬɨɤ ɞɟɧɟɝ ɧɚ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥ (r = f'(k) — d+ E[dp/dt/p], ɝɞɟ k
—
ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥ, ɩɪɢɯɨɞɹɳɢɣɫɹ ɧɚ ɞɭɲɭ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ, d — ɫɤɨɪɨɫɬɶ ɚɦɨɪɬɢɡɚɰɢɢ, E[dp/dt/p]
—
ɨɠɢɞɚɟɦɚɹ ɫɤɨɪɨɫɬɶ ɢɧɮɥɹɰɢɢ). ɋɥɟɞɭɹ ɬɪɚɞɢɰɢɹɦ ɤɟɣɧɫɢɚɧɫɬɜɚ, ɫɱɢɬɚɟɬɫɹ,