221
Epilogue
The mathematical techniques we have covered in this book are diverse
and some are indeed not easy to follow. This is partly due to the
fact that choosing from a wide range of topics itself is a challenging
task, and partly due to the multidisciplinary nature of earth sciences,
coupled with various levels of complexity which in turn require a wide
range of mathematical techniques in the right combinations.
It is true that earth sciences are evolving with ever-increasing em-
phasis on quantitative modelling. In fact, mathematical modelling and
computer simulations have become an integrated part of modern earth
sciences. This observation is strengthened by the fact that mathemati-
cal and computer modelling will be crucially important to address the
Ten Questions Shaping 21st-Century Earth Sciences identified by the
National Research Council,
1
concerning 1) the formation of Earth and
other planets, 2) the missing link during Earth’s ‘dark age’, 3) the
origin of life, 4) the Earth’s interior, 5) the origin of the plate tecton-
ics and continents, 6) the effect of material properties on large-scale
planetary processes, 7) the cause of climate change and the extent of
such changes, 8) the interaction of life and Earth, 9) the prediction
of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions and their consequences, and 10)
the effect of fluid flow and transport on the human environment and
ecosystems.
In addition, there are other important issues which I think worth
mentioning, and their solutions are equally challenging. Here I list
them: 1) efficient use of renewable resources and energy as well as
carbon entrapment, 2) long-term change attainability and stability of
the earth system, 3) the integrated high-precision Earth observation
system, 4) the influence on the earth system induced by the activities
of the solar system, especially the Sun, and 5) the long-term impact of
all human activities on the planet.
These challenging questions require even more challenging tech-
niques and skills to solve, definitely multidisciplinary and multi-physics
as well as multi-scales. After all, we have to be able to model complex
systems, to handle massive data, and to deal with uncertainty. Mathe-
matically and computationally speaking, these techniques include non-
linear partial differential equations (PDEs), theory of dynamical sys-
tems and complexity, statistical methods such as Monte Carlo simula-
tions, optimisation techniques, modern metaheuristics, and obviously
high-performance computing.
Modern approaches to all scientific problems tend to be more com-
putational. Modelling in earth sciences typically uses continuous mod-
1
Committee on Grand Research Questions in the Solid-Earth Sciences, National
Research Council, Origin and Evolution of Earth: Research Questions for a Chang-
ing Planet, (2008).