Cambridge Histories Online © Cambridge University Press, 2008
ted hopf
competition with the US. Liberals did not oppose the expansion of NATO,
but for its domestic political empowerment of conservatives.
204
While liberals
did not support NATO’s war against Yugoslavia, they also saw no security
implications for Russia, except for its energising of conservative discourse at
home.
Russian foreign policy was neither liberal nor conservative, but centrist, at
least after 1992. Integration with Belarus was neither spurned nor accelerated,
but rather treated as an issue of economic efficiency.
205
The creation of the
CIS was neither treated as trivial nor understood as a way to restore the Soviet
Union, but was instead cobbled together to co-ordinate defence and economic
policy among its twelve very different members.
206
NATO expansion was
neither welcomed nor opposed by arming or allying with other states against
it. Instead, it was opposed, with the expectation that Russia’s interests would
be taken into account as much as was politically feasible as the expansion
unfolded. NATO’s war in Kosovo was opposed vigorously, but once begun,
Russian efforts were aimed at getting Slobodan Milo
ˇ
sevi
´
c to sue for peace as
quickly as possible, not at arming him, or encouraging him to resist.
207
The common centrist thread through the 1990s was to maintain or restore
Russia’s Great Power status through economic development at home and
the empowerment of multilateral international institutions abroad. These
main themes were evident in Russian foreign policy towards the diaspora.
Despite incessant conservative calls to use military force to rescue Russians
from discriminatory citizenship laws in the Baltic states, Moscow consistently
worked through multilateral institutions, such as the Council of Europe and
the Council for Security and Co-operation in Europe.
208
Meanwhile, Russian
multinational companies, such as Yukos, Lukoil and Gazprom, cemented a
Russian presence in the FSU through direct investments and debt-for-equity
swaps to amortise local energy arrears.
209
204 Ekedahl and Goodman,Warsof Eduard Shevardnadze,pp.169–76;JamesM. Goldgeier, Not
Whether but When (Washington: Brookings Institution Press, 1999), pp. 15–16; Kvitsinskii,
Vremia i sluchai,pp.39–43, 67–9;Chernyaev,My SixYears,pp.272–3; Kornienko,Kholodnaia
voina,pp.264–7; and Primakov, Gody v bol’shoi politike,pp.232–3.
205 Vyachaslau Paznyak, ‘Customs Union of Five and the Russia–Belarus Union’, in Dwan
and Pavliuk, Building Security,pp.66–79.
206 Martha BrillOlcott, Anders Aslund, and Sherman W. Garnett, Gettingit Wrong (Washing-
ton: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1999); Matz, Constructing Post-Soviet
Reality; and Lena Jonson, ‘Russia and Central Asia’, in Roy Allison and Lena Jonson
(eds.), Central Asian Security: The New International Context (Washington: Brookings
Institution Press, 2001).
207 Primakov, Gody v bol’shoi politike,pp.174–6, 305. See also Allen Lynch, ‘The Realism of
Russia’s Foreign Policy’, Europe–Asia Studies 53, 1 (Jan.2001): 7–31.
208 Kolsto, Political Construction Sites,pp.208–13.
209 Olcott, Aslund and Garnett, Getting it Wrong,pp.54–66.
704