«We are stuck with this interventionist system, where any day of the week short-term measures
can be introduced, so that one day something is profitable and the next it isn't. Who can invest
or think ahead in such an unpredictable country?» said Luciano Miguens, the president of the
most traditional farming group, the Argentine Rural Society, which did not join the earlier strike.
Eduardo Buzzi, the leader of the Argentine Agrarian Federation, which protects the interests of
smaller farmers, worries that government policy is damaging competitiveness abroad. «The
government needs to ensure that national production is stable and predictable. At the moment
they are not doing the right thing to be a trust – worthy supplier of a country like Germany, for
example,» he says.
While farmers acknowledge that high international commodity prices should be a boon to
agriculture, a cornerstone of the Argentine economy, they complain that the government is
preventing them from taking advantage.
Furthermore, they say, measures such as the ban on beef exports have been ineffectual in
preventing inflation. Although the price of livestock fell by about 30 per cent following the ban,
prices in supermarkets fell by only 8 per cent. Such policies have merely resulted in a transfer of
wealth away from producers of over $260m (197m, i132m) this year, according to Mr Miguens.
«I don't know if it's just that they don't want to under-stand the issues or that they really don't
understand,» he says.
Farmers say the basic solution is to increase production, which has stagnated in recent years
despite rising demand both at home and abroad. «Ever since it was elected, this government
has completely failed to establish a plan for something as fundamental to our economy as beef
or grains,» says Mr Buzzi.
Until production increases, farmers say there will continue to be pressure on prices. As
agricultural produce has such a heavy weighting in the basket of goods used to track prices, this
complicates the government's task of controlling inflation, one of its highest priorities. Thanks to
its determined but controversial implementation of price controls this year, inflation looks set to
fall to about 10 per cent for 2006, down from 12.3 per cent in 2005.
One representative of the farming sector involved in negotiations fears that differences in the
government are complicating matters, with the economy minister, Felisa Miceli, pitted against
the powerful secretary for internal commerce, Guillermo Moreno, who is responsible for
enforcing price controls.
«Moreno is a fundamentalist. Bin Laden would be easier to negotiate with,» said the negotiator,
who preferred to remain anonymous.
«Miceli understands that if there's no investment, inflation won't go away, but Moreno doesn't –
the problem is who will win the tug of war. Moreno seems to think he can change the law of
gravity.»
By Benedict Mander in Buenos Aires
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